Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a low around 12–16°C for Munich on August 29, driven by a cold front and thunderstorms on the 28th that advect cooler maritime air, followed by partial clearing that enables radiative cooling under light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 13–15°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in overnight minimums, with clearer skies favoring the lower end near historical August norms of 12.7°C while lingering cloud or higher dew points could hold temperatures closer to 15–16°C. Key differentiating factors include model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of clearing, with official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service likely to refine probabilities before resolution.