Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on May 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 3?
46-47°F 100.0%
35°F or below <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$40,623 Vol.
$40,623 Vol.
May 3, 2026
35°F or below
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
Yes
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54°F or higher
No
46-47°F 100.0%
35°F or below <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$40,623 Vol.
$40,623 Vol.
May 3, 2026
35°F or below
$16,680 Vol.
No
36-37°F
$3,756 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$1,674 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$1,543 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$1,436 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$1,947 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$4,245 Vol.
Yes
48-49°F
$1,335 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$2,431 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$3,992 Vol.
No
54°F or higher
$1,585 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ভলিউম
$40,623শেষ তারিখ
May 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$40,623শেষ তারিখ
May 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা