Current forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF show the overnight minimum temperature in Paris on July 31 clustering near 19°C amid an ongoing late-July heat episode, with daytime highs projected at 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This strong model consensus, combined with historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns, underpins the 99% market-implied probability for exactly 19°C. Resolution depends on official observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. Shifts could arise from last-minute model updates incorporating new upper-air data, unexpected increases in low-level moisture or wind, or localized urban heat island effects altering the recorded low.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on July 31?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 31?
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$10,252 Vol.
$10,252 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$10,252 Vol.
$10,252 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
17°C or below
$1,999 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,281 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,548 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$413 Vol.
No
21°C
$617 Vol.
No
22°C
$386 Vol.
No
23°C
$368 Vol.
No
24°C
$346 Vol.
No
25°C
$683 Vol.
No
26°C
$316 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$296 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF show the overnight minimum temperature in Paris on July 31 clustering near 19°C amid an ongoing late-July heat episode, with daytime highs projected at 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This strong model consensus, combined with historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns, underpins the 99% market-implied probability for exactly 19°C. Resolution depends on official observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. Shifts could arise from last-minute model updates incorporating new upper-air data, unexpected increases in low-level moisture or wind, or localized urban heat island effects altering the recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$10,252শেষ তারিখ
Jul 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF show the overnight minimum temperature in Paris on July 31 clustering near 19°C amid an ongoing late-July heat episode, with daytime highs projected at 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This strong model consensus, combined with historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns, underpins the 99% market-implied probability for exactly 19°C. Resolution depends on official observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. Shifts could arise from last-minute model updates incorporating new upper-air data, unexpected increases in low-level moisture or wind, or localized urban heat island effects altering the recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$10,252শেষ তারিখ
Jul 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Current forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF show the overnight minimum temperature in Paris on July 31 clustering near 19°C amid an ongoing late-July heat episode, with daytime highs projected at 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This strong model consensus, combined with historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns, underpins the 99% market-implied probability for exactly 19°C. Resolution depends on official observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. Shifts could arise from last-minute model updates incorporating new upper-air data, unexpected increases in low-level moisture or wind, or localized urban heat island effects altering the recorded low.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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