The market-implied probability above 99% for a 15°C low stems from official Météo-France guidance projecting a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on June 4, aligning closely with early June climatology where average overnight lows hover near 14°C. A passing perturbation bringing scattered showers and below-normal maxima elsewhere in France has not triggered the stronger cooling needed for lower readings in the Paris basin, where steering patterns and surface conditions favor this stable range. Model consensus remains tight, with limited scope for revision before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on June 4?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 4?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$15,223 Vol.
$15,223 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$15,223 Vol.
$15,223 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
7°C or below
$1,408 Vol.
No
8°C
$273 Vol.
No
9°C
$430 Vol.
No
10°C
$416 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,110 Vol.
No
12°C
$659 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,120 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,206 Vol.
No
15°C
$856 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$1,358 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$6,387 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied probability above 99% for a 15°C low stems from official Météo-France guidance projecting a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on June 4, aligning closely with early June climatology where average overnight lows hover near 14°C. A passing perturbation bringing scattered showers and below-normal maxima elsewhere in France has not triggered the stronger cooling needed for lower readings in the Paris basin, where steering patterns and surface conditions favor this stable range. Model consensus remains tight, with limited scope for revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 2, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
ভলিউম
$15,223শেষ তারিখ
Jun 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 2, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied probability above 99% for a 15°C low stems from official Météo-France guidance projecting a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on June 4, aligning closely with early June climatology where average overnight lows hover near 14°C. A passing perturbation bringing scattered showers and below-normal maxima elsewhere in France has not triggered the stronger cooling needed for lower readings in the Paris basin, where steering patterns and surface conditions favor this stable range. Model consensus remains tight, with limited scope for revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$15,223শেষ তারিখ
Jun 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 2, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
The market-implied probability above 99% for a 15°C low stems from official Météo-France guidance projecting a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on June 4, aligning closely with early June climatology where average overnight lows hover near 14°C. A passing perturbation bringing scattered showers and below-normal maxima elsewhere in France has not triggered the stronger cooling needed for lower readings in the Paris basin, where steering patterns and surface conditions favor this stable range. Model consensus remains tight, with limited scope for revision before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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