Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$18,431 Vol.
$18,431 Vol.
May 4, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$18,431 Vol.
$18,431 Vol.
May 4, 2026
5°C or below
$652 Vol.
No
6°C
$2,238 Vol.
No
7°C
$4,779 Vol.
No
8°C
$4,668 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,356 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,774 Vol.
Yes
11°C
$407 Vol.
No
12°C
$347 Vol.
No
13°C
$453 Vol.
No
14°C
$406 Vol.
No
15°C or higher
$351 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$18,431শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$18,431শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা