Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,371 Vol.
$19,371 Vol.
May 3, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,371 Vol.
$19,371 Vol.
May 3, 2026
11°C or below
$1,804 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,990 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,147 Vol.
No
14°C
$846 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,331 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$349 Vol.
No
17°C
$740 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,609 Vol.
No
19°C
$217 Vol.
No
20°C
$388 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$950 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$19,371শেষ তারিখ
May 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$19,371শেষ তারিখ
May 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা