Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 4?
17°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,170 Vol.
$22,170 Vol.
May 4, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,170 Vol.
$22,170 Vol.
May 4, 2026
14°C or below
$4,189 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,573 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,297 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,904 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$1,411 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,659 Vol.
No
20°C
$562 Vol.
No
21°C
$415 Vol.
No
22°C
$445 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,419 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$295 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$22,170শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$22,170শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা