Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international forecasts positions Tokyo’s minimum temperature on September 1 near 23–25 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 23 °C. Persistent warm, humid maritime air and light easterly flow under partly cloudy skies have prevented significant overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated relative to seasonal norms. Short-range guidance shows only modest variability across ensemble members, with no approaching cold front or enhanced cloud cover expected to alter the range before dawn on the first. Traders are therefore concentrating implied probability within the narrow 23–25 °C band, reflecting the tight clustering of official forecast guidance and the absence of disruptive meteorological developments in the final 48 hours.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
24°C 48%
23°C 31%
25°C 15%
21°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
31%
24°C
48%
25°C
18%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 31%
25°C 15%
21°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$226 Vol.
8%
22°C
$441 Vol.
1%
23°C
$290 Vol.
31%
24°C
$256 Vol.
48%
25°C
$364 Vol.
18%
26°C
$212 Vol.
2%
27°C
$83 Vol.
1%
28°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$124 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international forecasts positions Tokyo’s minimum temperature on September 1 near 23–25 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 23 °C. Persistent warm, humid maritime air and light easterly flow under partly cloudy skies have prevented significant overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated relative to seasonal norms. Short-range guidance shows only modest variability across ensemble members, with no approaching cold front or enhanced cloud cover expected to alter the range before dawn on the first. Traders are therefore concentrating implied probability within the narrow 23–25 °C band, reflecting the tight clustering of official forecast guidance and the absence of disruptive meteorological developments in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,479শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international forecasts positions Tokyo’s minimum temperature on September 1 near 23–25 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 23 °C. Persistent warm, humid maritime air and light easterly flow under partly cloudy skies have prevented significant overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated relative to seasonal norms. Short-range guidance shows only modest variability across ensemble members, with no approaching cold front or enhanced cloud cover expected to alter the range before dawn on the first. Traders are therefore concentrating implied probability within the narrow 23–25 °C band, reflecting the tight clustering of official forecast guidance and the absence of disruptive meteorological developments in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,479শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international forecasts positions Tokyo’s minimum temperature on September 1 near 23–25 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 23 °C. Persistent warm, humid maritime air and light easterly flow under partly cloudy skies have prevented significant overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated relative to seasonal norms. Short-range guidance shows only modest variability across ensemble members, with no approaching cold front or enhanced cloud cover expected to alter the range before dawn on the first. Traders are therefore concentrating implied probability within the narrow 23–25 °C band, reflecting the tight clustering of official forecast guidance and the absence of disruptive meteorological developments in the final 48 hours.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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