Recent model consensus from GFS and regional forecasts positions the overnight minimum near 15–16°C, driven by light southwesterly winds, extensive cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and modest radiative cooling under 1012–1016 hPa pressure. These conditions suppress the typical late-August clear-sky drop below seasonal climatological lows of ~15°C. Updated runs show the 2 m temperature stabilizing above 14°C after sunset, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 16°C (63%) and 15°C (35.5%). Any clearing trend overnight could allow further cooling toward 14°C, but persistent moisture and weak advection currently limit that downside risk.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
16°C 88%
13°C 16%
15°C 16%
14°C 11%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
11°C or below
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
16%
14°C
11%
15°C
16%
16°C
74%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 88%
13°C 16%
15°C 16%
14°C 11%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
11°C or below
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
16%
14°C
11%
15°C
16%
16°C
74%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and regional forecasts positions the overnight minimum near 15–16°C, driven by light southwesterly winds, extensive cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and modest radiative cooling under 1012–1016 hPa pressure. These conditions suppress the typical late-August clear-sky drop below seasonal climatological lows of ~15°C. Updated runs show the 2 m temperature stabilizing above 14°C after sunset, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 16°C (63%) and 15°C (35.5%). Any clearing trend overnight could allow further cooling toward 14°C, but persistent moisture and weak advection currently limit that downside risk.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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