Google's delay of the Gemini 3.5 Pro model, teased at I/O 2026 for a June rollout after internal testing showed gains in reasoning and coding over 3.1 Pro, remains the main factor shaping trader views on release timing. While Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite reached general availability in late July with improved efficiency, the flagship Pro version has not shipped despite earlier promises from CEO Sundar Pichai. Pre-training for Gemini 4 began around the same time, but that remains months away. Traders are watching for any August developer updates or API previews that could meet end-of-quarter patterns, alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model drops that might accelerate or further postpone Google's schedule.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$469,074 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
August 7
5%
August 14
60%
August 21
81%
August 31
93%
$469,074 Vol.
August 7
$77,539 Vol.
5%
August 14
$44,186 Vol.
60%
August 21
$24,852 Vol.
81%
August 31
$35,740 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delay of the Gemini 3.5 Pro model, teased at I/O 2026 for a June rollout after internal testing showed gains in reasoning and coding over 3.1 Pro, remains the main factor shaping trader views on release timing. While Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite reached general availability in late July with improved efficiency, the flagship Pro version has not shipped despite earlier promises from CEO Sundar Pichai. Pre-training for Gemini 4 began around the same time, but that remains months away. Traders are watching for any August developer updates or API previews that could meet end-of-quarter patterns, alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model drops that might accelerate or further postpone Google's schedule.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$469,074শেষ তারিখ
Jul 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delay of the Gemini 3.5 Pro model, teased at I/O 2026 for a June rollout after internal testing showed gains in reasoning and coding over 3.1 Pro, remains the main factor shaping trader views on release timing. While Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite reached general availability in late July with improved efficiency, the flagship Pro version has not shipped despite earlier promises from CEO Sundar Pichai. Pre-training for Gemini 4 began around the same time, but that remains months away. Traders are watching for any August developer updates or API previews that could meet end-of-quarter patterns, alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model drops that might accelerate or further postpone Google's schedule.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$469,074শেষ তারিখ
Jul 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's delay of the Gemini 3.5 Pro model, teased at I/O 2026 for a June rollout after internal testing showed gains in reasoning and coding over 3.1 Pro, remains the main factor shaping trader views on release timing. While Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite reached general availability in late July with improved efficiency, the flagship Pro version has not shipped despite earlier promises from CEO Sundar Pichai. Pre-training for Gemini 4 began around the same time, but that remains months away. Traders are watching for any August developer updates or API previews that could meet end-of-quarter patterns, alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model drops that might accelerate or further postpone Google's schedule.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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