OpenAI's GPT-5.4, released in early March 2026, has driven trader optimism on FrontierMath by achieving state-of-the-art scores of 50% on Tiers 1–3 and 38% on the ultra-challenging Tier 4, which features unsolved research-level math problems vetted by experts. Just weeks later, on March 23, GPT-5.4 Pro solved one such open problem, confirmed by mathematician Will Brian, signaling accelerating AI math capabilities amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.x series. With the June 30 deadline approaching, traders eye potential fine-tunes, mini variants like GPT-5.4 mini (rolled out March 18), or interim releases, though GPT-6 speculation points to mid-2026; rapid benchmark gains underscore the "wisdom of crowds" in pricing scaling laws versus timeline slips.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$20,343 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
60%+
63%
70%+
24%
$20,343 Vol.
60%+
$18,697 Vol.
63%
70%+
$1,646 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.4, released in early March 2026, has driven trader optimism on FrontierMath by achieving state-of-the-art scores of 50% on Tiers 1–3 and 38% on the ultra-challenging Tier 4, which features unsolved research-level math problems vetted by experts. Just weeks later, on March 23, GPT-5.4 Pro solved one such open problem, confirmed by mathematician Will Brian, signaling accelerating AI math capabilities amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.x series. With the June 30 deadline approaching, traders eye potential fine-tunes, mini variants like GPT-5.4 mini (rolled out March 18), or interim releases, though GPT-6 speculation points to mid-2026; rapid benchmark gains underscore the "wisdom of crowds" in pricing scaling laws versus timeline slips.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
ভলিউম
$20,343শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.4, released in early March 2026, has driven trader optimism on FrontierMath by achieving state-of-the-art scores of 50% on Tiers 1–3 and 38% on the ultra-challenging Tier 4, which features unsolved research-level math problems vetted by experts. Just weeks later, on March 23, GPT-5.4 Pro solved one such open problem, confirmed by mathematician Will Brian, signaling accelerating AI math capabilities amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.x series. With the June 30 deadline approaching, traders eye potential fine-tunes, mini variants like GPT-5.4 mini (rolled out March 18), or interim releases, though GPT-6 speculation points to mid-2026; rapid benchmark gains underscore the "wisdom of crowds" in pricing scaling laws versus timeline slips.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$20,343শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.4, released in early March 2026, has driven trader optimism on FrontierMath by achieving state-of-the-art scores of 50% on Tiers 1–3 and 38% on the ultra-challenging Tier 4, which features unsolved research-level math problems vetted by experts. Just weeks later, on March 23, GPT-5.4 Pro solved one such open problem, confirmed by mathematician Will Brian, signaling accelerating AI math capabilities amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.x series. With the June 30 deadline approaching, traders eye potential fine-tunes, mini variants like GPT-5.4 mini (rolled out March 18), or interim releases, though GPT-6 speculation points to mid-2026; rapid benchmark gains underscore the "wisdom of crowds" in pricing scaling laws versus timeline slips.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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