The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive for second place due to a fragmented field of 12 candidates, with Marília Arraes frequently leading polls while several others cluster closely behind in the teens and low 20s. Recent candidate registrations finalized in early August 2026, alongside alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra and party shifts such as Túlio Gadêlha’s PSD move, have sustained dispersion in voter intentions across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and others. No single contender has consolidated the remaining vote share after the likely first-place finisher, leaving outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, regional strongholds in Recife versus the interior, and last-minute campaign momentum before October. This structure keeps implied probabilities elevated and clustered for multiple names.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPaulo Rubem Santiago 45%
Samuel Timoteo 43%
Túlio Gadêlha 43%
Mendonça Filho 43%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Paulo Rubem Santiago
45%
Samuel Timoteo
43%
Túlio Gadêlha
43%
Mendonça Filho
43%
Gorett Bitu
43%
Eduardo da Fonte
42%
Carlos Sant'Anna
41%
Mariano Macedo
41%
Marília Arraes
40%
Mailson da Silva Neto
40%
Humberto Costa
39%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
23%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 45%
Samuel Timoteo 43%
Túlio Gadêlha 43%
Mendonça Filho 43%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$0 Vol.
45%
Samuel Timoteo
$0 Vol.
43%
Túlio Gadêlha
$0 Vol.
43%
Mendonça Filho
$0 Vol.
43%
Gorett Bitu
$0 Vol.
43%
Eduardo da Fonte
$0 Vol.
42%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$0 Vol.
41%
Mariano Macedo
$0 Vol.
41%
Marília Arraes
$0 Vol.
40%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$0 Vol.
40%
Humberto Costa
$0 Vol.
39%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$0 Vol.
23%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive for second place due to a fragmented field of 12 candidates, with Marília Arraes frequently leading polls while several others cluster closely behind in the teens and low 20s. Recent candidate registrations finalized in early August 2026, alongside alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra and party shifts such as Túlio Gadêlha’s PSD move, have sustained dispersion in voter intentions across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and others. No single contender has consolidated the remaining vote share after the likely first-place finisher, leaving outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, regional strongholds in Recife versus the interior, and last-minute campaign momentum before October. This structure keeps implied probabilities elevated and clustered for multiple names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive for second place due to a fragmented field of 12 candidates, with Marília Arraes frequently leading polls while several others cluster closely behind in the teens and low 20s. Recent candidate registrations finalized in early August 2026, alongside alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra and party shifts such as Túlio Gadêlha’s PSD move, have sustained dispersion in voter intentions across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and others. No single contender has consolidated the remaining vote share after the likely first-place finisher, leaving outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, regional strongholds in Recife versus the interior, and last-minute campaign momentum before October. This structure keeps implied probabilities elevated and clustered for multiple names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive for second place due to a fragmented field of 12 candidates, with Marília Arraes frequently leading polls while several others cluster closely behind in the teens and low 20s. Recent candidate registrations finalized in early August 2026, alongside alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra and party shifts such as Túlio Gadêlha’s PSD move, have sustained dispersion in voter intentions across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and others. No single contender has consolidated the remaining vote share after the likely first-place finisher, leaving outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, regional strongholds in Recife versus the interior, and last-minute campaign momentum before October. This structure keeps implied probabilities elevated and clustered for multiple names.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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