Luciano Zucco (PL) holds the leading trader consensus at 60% for the October 4 first-round vote in the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race, driven by his consolidation of right-leaning coalitions that include the PL, PP, and allied parties following formal party conventions. Juliana Brizola (PDT) sits at 34% amid her left-leaning alliance with the PT and other groups, positioning her as the main challenger in a contest shaped by the term limit barring incumbent Eduardo Leite (PSD) from running. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows the two in a technical tie near 35-36% in the first round, with Gabriel Souza (MDB) trailing at 22% as the continuity candidate. Zucco's organizational momentum and broader right-wing support have contributed to the market's implied probability gap ahead of the potential October 25 runoff.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLuciano Zucco 60%
Juliana Brizola 34%
Gabriel Souza 2.9%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$104,141 Vol.
$104,141 Vol.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
60%
Juliana Brizola
34%
Gabriel Souza
3%
Marcelo Maranata
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 60%
Juliana Brizola 34%
Gabriel Souza 2.9%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$104,141 Vol.
$104,141 Vol.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
$47,892 Vol.
60%
Juliana Brizola
$35,625 Vol.
34%
Gabriel Souza
$10,508 Vol.
3%
Marcelo Maranata
$7,151 Vol.
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,966 Vol.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) holds the leading trader consensus at 60% for the October 4 first-round vote in the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race, driven by his consolidation of right-leaning coalitions that include the PL, PP, and allied parties following formal party conventions. Juliana Brizola (PDT) sits at 34% amid her left-leaning alliance with the PT and other groups, positioning her as the main challenger in a contest shaped by the term limit barring incumbent Eduardo Leite (PSD) from running. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows the two in a technical tie near 35-36% in the first round, with Gabriel Souza (MDB) trailing at 22% as the continuity candidate. Zucco's organizational momentum and broader right-wing support have contributed to the market's implied probability gap ahead of the potential October 25 runoff.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
ভলিউম
$104,141শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) holds the leading trader consensus at 60% for the October 4 first-round vote in the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race, driven by his consolidation of right-leaning coalitions that include the PL, PP, and allied parties following formal party conventions. Juliana Brizola (PDT) sits at 34% amid her left-leaning alliance with the PT and other groups, positioning her as the main challenger in a contest shaped by the term limit barring incumbent Eduardo Leite (PSD) from running. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows the two in a technical tie near 35-36% in the first round, with Gabriel Souza (MDB) trailing at 22% as the continuity candidate. Zucco's organizational momentum and broader right-wing support have contributed to the market's implied probability gap ahead of the potential October 25 runoff.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$104,141শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Luciano Zucco (PL) holds the leading trader consensus at 60% for the October 4 first-round vote in the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race, driven by his consolidation of right-leaning coalitions that include the PL, PP, and allied parties following formal party conventions. Juliana Brizola (PDT) sits at 34% amid her left-leaning alliance with the PT and other groups, positioning her as the main challenger in a contest shaped by the term limit barring incumbent Eduardo Leite (PSD) from running. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows the two in a technical tie near 35-36% in the first round, with Gabriel Souza (MDB) trailing at 22% as the continuity candidate. Zucco's organizational momentum and broader right-wing support have contributed to the market's implied probability gap ahead of the potential October 25 runoff.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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