**Recent congressional inaction on federal AI safety legislation underpins the 79.5% implied probability that no such bill will be enacted before 2027.** Despite multiple proposals—including the bipartisan Frontier Act, Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Amy Klobuchar on oversight and risk-mitigation requirements, and targeted measures on incident reporting or shutdown mechanisms—lawmakers have advanced none to passage amid partisan divides, differing views on preemption of state laws, and industry input. The House and Senate face imminent recess ahead of November midterms, leaving little time for floor action or consensus before year-end, even as AI executives highlight safety concerns. President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice, further reducing near-term momentum for new rules.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
21% সম্ভাবনা
$118,917 Vol.
$118,917 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
21% সম্ভাবনা
$118,917 Vol.
$118,917 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Recent congressional inaction on federal AI safety legislation underpins the 79.5% implied probability that no such bill will be enacted before 2027.** Despite multiple proposals—including the bipartisan Frontier Act, Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Amy Klobuchar on oversight and risk-mitigation requirements, and targeted measures on incident reporting or shutdown mechanisms—lawmakers have advanced none to passage amid partisan divides, differing views on preemption of state laws, and industry input. The House and Senate face imminent recess ahead of November midterms, leaving little time for floor action or consensus before year-end, even as AI executives highlight safety concerns. President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice, further reducing near-term momentum for new rules.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$118,917শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Recent congressional inaction on federal AI safety legislation underpins the 79.5% implied probability that no such bill will be enacted before 2027.** Despite multiple proposals—including the bipartisan Frontier Act, Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Amy Klobuchar on oversight and risk-mitigation requirements, and targeted measures on incident reporting or shutdown mechanisms—lawmakers have advanced none to passage amid partisan divides, differing views on preemption of state laws, and industry input. The House and Senate face imminent recess ahead of November midterms, leaving little time for floor action or consensus before year-end, even as AI executives highlight safety concerns. President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice, further reducing near-term momentum for new rules.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$118,917শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...**Recent congressional inaction on federal AI safety legislation underpins the 79.5% implied probability that no such bill will be enacted before 2027.** Despite multiple proposals—including the bipartisan Frontier Act, Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Amy Klobuchar on oversight and risk-mitigation requirements, and targeted measures on incident reporting or shutdown mechanisms—lawmakers have advanced none to passage amid partisan divides, differing views on preemption of state laws, and industry input. The House and Senate face imminent recess ahead of November midterms, leaving little time for floor action or consensus before year-end, even as AI executives highlight safety concerns. President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice, further reducing near-term momentum for new rules.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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