**Paramount Skydance holds an 80.5% implied probability after securing a definitive $110.9 billion all-cash agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery in February 2026, followed by overwhelming shareholder approval in April.** The U.S. Department of Justice recently closed its antitrust review, removing a major regulatory hurdle and reinforcing trader consensus around successful closing. Earlier bidding rounds saw Netflix initially favored for studios and streaming assets before Paramount’s revised full-company tender prevailed, prompting Netflix to withdraw. Comcast’s partial-asset interest drew limited traction. The 13% probability assigned to no closing by June 30, 2027, accounts for remaining state-level reviews and standard deal timelines, while Netflix and Comcast options reflect diminished competitive positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFederal judge issues temporary restraining order blocking Paramount-Warner Bros. merger
None by June 30, 2027 jumps to 25%13%
Following lawsuits by 12 states challenging the merger on antitrust grounds, a federal judge issued a temporary restraining order preventing the Paramount acquisition from closing, causing uncertainty and delay in the deal's completion.
Paramount agrees to delay Warner Bros. acquisition until June 2027 or court ruling
Paramount and Warner Bros. agreed to pause the merger until June 1, 2027, or five days after a court ruling on antitrust challenges, extending the deal's timeline and reflecting ongoing legal uncertainty.
European Commission approves Paramount’s acquisition of Warner Bros.
The European Commission joined other global regulators in approving the merger, reinforcing the likelihood of deal closure and supporting Paramount’s market position despite ongoing legal challenges in the U.S.
European Commission and other regulators approve Paramount’s Warner Bros. acquisition
Paramount drops to 72%12%
Paramount secured regulatory approvals from the European Commission and other international regulators, clearing major hurdles for the acquisition despite ongoing legal challenges in the U.S., supporting the likelihood of deal closure.
European Commission formally clears Paramount’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
The European Commission approved the acquisition, marking a major regulatory milestone and reinforcing the likelihood of Paramount closing the deal despite ongoing legal challenges in the U.S.
European Union approves Paramount-Warner Bros. merger with conditions
The European Union granted regulatory approval for the Paramount acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, clearing a major hurdle and supporting the likelihood of Paramount closing the deal despite ongoing legal challenges.
Temporary restraining order halts Paramount-Warner Bros. merger amid antitrust lawsuit
A coalition of state attorneys general filed a lawsuit to block Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery on antitrust grounds. A federal judge issued a 14-day temporary restraining order, pausing the acquisition and causing uncertainty about the deal's completion before the June 2027 deadline.
Paramount agrees to delay Warner Bros. acquisition until June 1, 2027 amid antitrust lawsuits
Paramount plunges to 66%20%
Paramount agreed not to close its $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery until June 1, 2027, or until state and WGA lawsuits are resolved, delaying the deal and increasing potential costs due to ticking fees.
Federal judge issues temporary restraining order halting Paramount-Warner Bros. merger
A U.S. District Judge granted a temporary restraining order pausing the Paramount-Warner Bros. acquisition due to antitrust lawsuit concerns, causing further delay and uncertainty about the deal closing by the deadline.
Federal judge temporarily halts Paramount-Warner Bros. merger amid antitrust lawsuit
Paramount plunges to 61%26%
A federal judge issued a temporary restraining order stopping Paramount from completing its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery due to an antitrust lawsuit filed by a coalition of state attorneys general, causing uncertainty and a market pause.
Attorneys general sue to block Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount drops to 73%14%
Attorneys general from 12 states filed a lawsuit to block the merger, citing concerns over reduced competition in film distribution and streaming. This introduced regulatory uncertainty but did not immediately derail the acquisition.
Attorneys general sue to block Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 72%15%
Attorneys general from 12 states filed a lawsuit to block Paramount's acquisition, citing concerns over reduced competition in film distribution and streaming. A federal judge issued a temporary restraining order, delaying the deal's closure but Paramount vowed to defend the merger vigorously.
Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition remains on track amid shareholder and regulatory processes
Paramount dips to 82%4%
Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery is progressing toward completion following DOJ approval and shareholder votes, despite ongoing opposition and legal challenges. Market prices reflect Paramount as the likely acquirer, with Netflix and Comcast probabilities at zero.
Attorneys general from 12 states sue to block Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount drops to 73%12%
A coalition of state attorneys general filed a lawsuit to block the Paramount acquisition, citing concerns over reduced competition in film distribution and streaming. This legal challenge introduced regulatory uncertainty but did not ultimately prevent the deal's progress.
Writers Guild of America files lawsuit to block Paramount-WBD acquisition
Paramount drops to 74%10%
The Writers Guild of America filed a lawsuit opposing the Paramount Skydance acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, citing concerns about reduced competition and fewer movies in theaters. This legal challenge introduced uncertainty but did not significantly derail the market's confidence in Paramount's eventual acquisition.
State attorneys general file antitrust lawsuit to block Paramount-Warner Bros. merger
Attorneys general from 12 states filed a lawsuit seeking to block the $110 billion Paramount acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, citing antitrust concerns, which delayed the closing and increased uncertainty in the market.
Group of state attorneys general files lawsuit to block Paramount's Warner Bros. acquisition
Paramount drops to 74%13%
A coalition of state attorneys general filed a federal lawsuit seeking to block Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, citing antitrust concerns about reduced competition and potential harm to consumers and the industry.
Twelve U.S. states file lawsuit to block Paramount-Warner Bros. acquisition
Paramount drops to 73%14%
A coalition of 12 U.S. states filed a lawsuit seeking to block the Paramount Skydance acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, creating legal uncertainty and potential delays in closing the deal.
Attorneys general from 12 states sue to block Paramount-Warner Bros. merger
Paramount drops to 81%5%
A coalition of state attorneys general filed a lawsuit arguing the merger would harm competition in film distribution, cable TV, and streaming, creating uncertainty and causing a temporary market reaction against Paramount’s acquisition chances.
State attorneys general file antitrust lawsuit to block Paramount-Warner Bros. merger
A coalition of 12 US state attorneys general filed a lawsuit challenging the Paramount acquisition on antitrust grounds, leading to a temporary restraining order and delaying the closing of the deal, impacting market confidence.
State Attorneys General Finalize Antitrust Lawsuit Challenging Paramount-WBD Merger
Several state attorneys general prepared an antitrust lawsuit against the Paramount acquisition, creating legal uncertainty but not preventing the deal's expected closure.
Group of state attorneys sue to block Paramount's Warner Bros. acquisition
Paramount dips to 84%3%
A coalition of state attorneys filed a lawsuit in California federal court to prevent Paramount from acquiring Warner Bros. Discovery, citing antitrust concerns about reduced competition and higher prices. This introduced legal uncertainty to the deal's completion.
Paramount offers remedies to address EU competition concerns for Warner Bros. acquisition
Paramount rises to 86%2%
Paramount proposed concessions to the European Commission to alleviate antitrust concerns, helping secure regulatory approvals necessary for closing the deal, supporting the sustained high market price for Paramount.
Paramount submits concessions to European Commission for Warner Bros. merger review
Paramount rises to 86%1%
Paramount formally offered concessions to the European Commission as part of the ongoing regulatory review of its $111 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. This step is critical to securing EU approval and advancing the merger toward completion.
European Union clears Paramount-Warner Bros. merger with conditions
The European Union completed its phase-1 antitrust review and gave conditional approval to the Paramount-Warner Bros. merger, removing a major regulatory hurdle and supporting the likelihood of Paramount closing the acquisition.
UK government signals likely intervention in Paramount's Warner Bros. Discovery takeover
Paramount dips to 81%2%
The UK Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy announced she is minded to intervene in the $110 billion Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery merger on public interest grounds, citing concerns about media plurality. This potential intervention introduces regulatory uncertainty and could delay the deal's completion in the UK market.
European Union expected to approve Paramount-Warner Bros. deal by early July
Paramount rises to 83%2%
EU regulators indicated they would approve the Paramount-WBD deal by July 7, 2026, signaling smooth regulatory progress in Europe and supporting market optimism for a timely closing.
Paramount's acquisition chances peak amid regulatory and political advantages
Paramount jumps to 91%7%
Paramount's probability of acquiring Warner Bros. Discovery peaked at 91% on June 28, 2026, driven by its strong financial backing, regulatory advantages, and political support from figures like Donald Trump, who favored Paramount over Comcast.
U.S. Department of Justice clears Paramount Skydance’s $110 billion Warner Bros. acquisition
Paramount rises to 85%2%
The DOJ approved the acquisition without objections, removing a major regulatory hurdle and boosting Paramount's market confidence ahead of final closing.
Paramount faces antitrust lawsuit challenging Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition
Paramount dips to 82%3%
Paramount Skydance was served with an antitrust lawsuit alleging the acquisition would reduce competition and harm consumers, introducing legal risks and potential delays to the merger process.
Paramount Skydance acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery expected to close in Q3 2026
Paramount jumps to 81%5%
Following Netflix’s withdrawal and regulatory approvals, Paramount Skydance’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery is on track to close in the third quarter of 2026, effectively ending the bidding war and confirming Paramount as the acquirer.
U.S. Department of Justice and FCC clear Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount rises to 82%1%
The U.S. Department of Justice and Federal Communications Commission approved Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, removing the final regulatory obstacles and paving the way for the deal to close in Q3 2026. This regulatory clearance solidified Paramount's position as the acquirer.
Regulators clear Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
The U.S. Department of Justice and Federal Communications Commission approved Paramount's acquisition, removing final regulatory obstacles for the $110 billion merger.
U.S. Department of Justice approves Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
The U.S. Department of Justice granted approval for Paramount Skydance's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, allowing the $110 billion deal to proceed. This regulatory clearance was a critical step toward finalizing the acquisition and confirmed Paramount as the acquirer.
US Department of Justice clears Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
The DOJ completed an eight-month antitrust review and approved the Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery merger without conditions, removing the final regulatory obstacle and paving the way for closing the $110 billion deal.
US Department of Justice approves Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery merger
The US DOJ cleared Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery after an eight-month investigation, removing the final major regulatory hurdle and paving the way for the deal to close in Q3 2026.
U.S. Department of Justice clears Paramount’s $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
The DOJ approved Paramount Skydance’s acquisition without requiring remedies, clearing a major regulatory hurdle and paving the way for deal closure.
U.S. Department of Justice clears Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount rises to 83%2%
The DOJ approved Paramount's proposed acquisition, removing a major regulatory hurdle and boosting market confidence in Paramount's successful takeover. This approval was a significant step toward deal completion despite ongoing legal challenges.
Comcast withdraws bid for Warner Bros. Discovery after Paramount win
Comcast announced it had dropped its bid after Paramount’s deal cleared regulatory hurdles, pushing the Comcast probability down to virtually zero.
Paramount’s $110 billion Warner Bros. acquisition cleared by DOJ
Paramount jumps to 87%6%
The U.S. Department of Justice approved Paramount’s $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros., marking a major milestone despite ongoing legal challenges from some states, boosting market confidence in Paramount’s closing chances.
Warner Bros. Discovery shares trade below deal price after DOJ approval amid remaining risks
Despite DOJ approval, WBD shares traded below the $31 deal price reflecting investor caution about remaining state-level legal challenges and international regulatory reviews, indicating some execution risk remains.
US Department of Justice clears Paramount’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
The US DOJ concluded its antitrust investigation, determining that Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery is unlikely to harm competition, removing a major regulatory hurdle and increasing the likelihood of deal closure.
DOJ antitrust division approves Paramount‑Warner Bros. Discovery merger
The U.S. Department of Justice announced antitrust approval of the Paramount‑Warner Bros. Discovery merger, removing the final regulatory hurdle and cementing Paramount’s lead in the market.
Paramount's acquisition probability peaks above 90% amid Netflix and Comcast exit
Paramount jumps to 91%6%
By mid-June 2026, market prices showed Paramount's acquisition probability peaking at 91%, while Netflix and Comcast probabilities dropped to zero. This reflected Paramount's dominant position in the bidding process and the market's expectation that Paramount will close the acquisition by the June 30, 2027 deadline.
Department of Justice Approves Paramount-WBD Merger After Eight-Month Review
Paramount jumps to 83%6%
The DOJ's Antitrust Division cleared the $111 billion transaction, concluding it does not pose a threat to competition in streaming, linear TV, or theatrical markets.
DOJ clears Paramount’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount jumps to 85%8%
The DOJ announced it would not challenge the Paramount‑Warner Bros. deal, clearing the biggest antitrust obstacle. The news lifted Paramount’s probability further and gave a modest bump to the “None” outcome as the window for delays narrowed.
U.S. Justice Department clears Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount jumps to 82%5%
The DOJ's Antitrust Division approved Paramount's $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery without requiring divestitures or concessions, removing a major regulatory hurdle and boosting market confidence in Paramount's deal closing.
US Justice Department approves Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
The US Department of Justice approved the $111 billion merger of Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery, clearing a major regulatory hurdle and paving the way for the deal's expected closing in Q3 2026.
U.S. Justice Department approves Paramount’s $111 billion acquisition of Warner Bros.
Paramount jumps to 84%10%
The DOJ's Antitrust Division cleared Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, removing a major regulatory hurdle and boosting market confidence in the deal's completion.
US Department of Justice approves Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
The US Department of Justice completed an eight-month investigation and approved Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery without requiring divestments or remedies, removing the final major regulatory hurdle. This approval was critical for the deal's completion and boosted market confidence in Paramount's acquisition.
U.S. Department of Justice approves Paramount's $111 billion acquisition of Warner Bros.
The DOJ approved Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, removing a major regulatory hurdle and significantly increasing market confidence in Paramount's successful closing of the deal.
US Department of Justice signals likely approval of Paramount-Warner Bros. merger
US antitrust regulators indicated a positive stance toward approving Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros., reducing regulatory uncertainty and supporting the completion of the deal.
California and other states prepare lawsuit to block Paramount-Warner Bros. deal
California Attorney General and other states announced plans to sue to block Paramount’s acquisition of Warner Bros., introducing legal uncertainty and potential delays to the closing process.
Paramount Files Motion to Dismiss Subscriber Antitrust Lawsuit
Paramount drops to 74%10%
Paramount asked a federal court to toss the antitrust lawsuit, calling it a clumsy attempt to politicize corporate transactions.
European Union expected to approve Paramount-Warner Bros. deal by July 7, 2026
Paramount rises to 83%4%
The EU's anticipated approval of the Paramount acquisition deal reduced regulatory uncertainty, supporting the market's confidence in Paramount closing the acquisition within 2026.
EU extends antitrust review of Paramount’s bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount drops to 71%13%
The EU signaled it would extend its review of the Paramount‑Warner transaction, causing the “Paramount” price to drop again to the low‑70s and the “None” price to edge upward.
Paramount seeks EU approval for Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny
Paramount rises to 86%3%
Paramount formally sought European Union approval for the acquisition, facing ongoing regulatory scrutiny but progressing toward closing the deal despite challenges.
European Union and Austrian authorities expected to approve Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery deal
The European Union and Austrian Federal Competition Authority indicated expected approval of the Paramount acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, signaling regulatory clearance in key jurisdictions and advancing the deal toward completion.
Paramount secures bondholder approval facilitating Warner Bros. acquisition
Paramount rises to 82%4%
Paramount Skydance obtained necessary bondholder consent to amend debt terms, easing financial and structural conditions for the Warner Bros. acquisition and extending deadlines to accommodate regulatory approvals.
Paramount's hostile bid remains active as shareholder tender deadline approaches
Paramount continued to extend its tender offer and push for shareholder support, maintaining market confidence in its hostile bid despite Warner Bros. Discovery's board support for Netflix.
Netflix reports solid Q4 but stock falls amid subscriber growth concerns
Netflix dips to 0%1%
Netflix reported strong financial results but slowing subscriber growth raised concerns, impacting its stock negatively. This added pressure on Netflix's ability to close the Warner Bros. acquisition, reflected in its market price decline to near zero.
U.S. Department of Justice and FCC clear Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount rises to 82%2%
Regulatory approval from the DOJ and FCC removed the final major obstacles for Paramount's acquisition, solidifying the deal's likelihood and pushing market prices to near certainty for Paramount's win.
Warner Bros. board reaffirms Netflix offer superior, urges shareholders to reject Paramount
Netflix dips to 0%2%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board again recommended shareholders reject Paramount's hostile bid, citing risks and debt concerns, and endorsed Netflix's offer as providing superior value and certainty, reinforcing Netflix's favored status in the acquisition race.
Paramount Skydance hit with antitrust lawsuit over Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition
Paramount drops to 68%6%
An antitrust lawsuit was filed against Paramount Skydance alleging the acquisition would harm competition and consumers, introducing regulatory and legal risks that affected market sentiment and acquisition timelines.
Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders approve Paramount's $110 billion acquisition
Paramount dips to 73%4%
Shareholders of Warner Bros. Discovery voted to approve Paramount Skydance's $110 billion acquisition, solidifying Paramount's position as the acquirer and confirming the market's resolution direction.
Paramount Hit With Antitrust Lawsuit by Subscribers Seeking to Block WBD Merger
None by June 30, 2027 dips to 18%3%
A group of streaming subscribers filed a class-action antitrust lawsuit in California federal court, arguing the merger would reduce competition and raise prices.
Paramount hit with antitrust lawsuit over Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition
An antitrust lawsuit was filed against Paramount alleging the acquisition would reduce competition and harm consumers, introducing regulatory risk to the merger's completion and impacting market sentiment.
European antitrust regulators complete phase 1 review of Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery deal
Paramount jumps to 84%10%
The European antitrust review phase 1 was completed smoothly, suggesting regulatory approval is progressing well, which supports the expected closing timeline of the Paramount acquisition.
EU completes phase‑1 review of Paramount‑Warner Bros. deal
None by June 30, 2027 rises to 13%1%
The European Commission completed its phase‑1 antitrust review of the Paramount‑WBD deal, signalling that EU clearance was on track. The news nudged the “None” probability upward as investors priced in possible regulatory delays.
Warner Bros. CinemaCon show highlights upcoming films amid acquisition uncertainty
Paramount jumps to 80%10%
Warner Bros. showcased major upcoming films at CinemaCon, reflecting ongoing business as usual despite the pending acquisition battle. Industry concerns about consolidation effects on production and theaters were noted, influencing market sentiment about the acquisition's future.
UK CMA to open investigation into Paramount‑Warner Bros. Discovery merger
Paramount plunges to 71%15%
The CMA announced it would launch an antitrust investigation into the Paramount‑Warner deal, temporarily dampening the “Paramount” price (which fell from 86 % to 71 %).
Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders approve merger with Paramount Skydance
Shareholders overwhelmingly approved the merger with Paramount Skydance, favoring its bid over Netflix's, marking a decisive step toward closing the acquisition.
Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders approve Paramount acquisition
Shareholders of Warner Bros. Discovery overwhelmingly approved the $110 billion acquisition by Paramount, clearing a major hurdle toward closing the deal and increasing market confidence in Paramount’s success.
Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders overwhelmingly approve Paramount's acquisition
Paramount jumps to 76%7%
Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders voted overwhelmingly to approve Paramount's $111 billion acquisition, a crucial step toward closing the deal, pending regulatory approvals. This boosted market confidence in Paramount's successful acquisition.
Warner Bros. shareholders approve Paramount’s $31-a-share acquisition deal
Paramount dips to 72%1%
Shareholders overwhelmingly approved Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, moving the deal closer to completion and solidifying Paramount's position as the likely acquirer.
Comcast files letter of intent for Warner Bros. Discovery streaming assets
Comcast rises to 1%1%
Comcast quietly filed a letter of intent to explore a possible bid for Warner Bros. Discovery’s streaming assets; the market’s “Comcast” probability rose briefly from 0 % to 1 % before returning to zero.
Regulatory scrutiny in UK and US raises acquisition delay concerns
None by June 30, 2027 jumps to 29%11%
Emerging regulatory scrutiny in the UK and pending state-level challenges in the US caused the market to increase the probability of no acquisition by June 30, 2027, reflecting concerns about potential delays or failure to close the deal.
Market shifts toward delayed Warner Bros. acquisition amid UK regulatory scrutiny
None by June 30, 2027 jumps to 29%11%
The prediction market saw a significant increase in the probability that no acquisition would close before July 2027, reflecting concerns about regulatory delays in the UK and Europe, causing a temporary dip in Paramount's acquisition odds.
Market shifts toward longer acquisition timeline amid UK regulatory scrutiny
None by June 30, 2027 jumps to 29%11%
The prediction market saw a significant increase in the probability that no acquisition would close before July 2027, reflecting concerns about regulatory delays in the UK and the complexity of the approval process, which could extend the deal timeline.
Regulatory uncertainty pushes “None” probability higher
None by June 30, 2027 jumps to 29%11%
A market‑price spike for the “None” outcome followed reports of heightened scrutiny in the United Kingdom and pending state‑level challenges, pushing investors to assign more probability to a delayed or failed closing.
Market prices spike for 'None by June 30, 2027' amid regulatory scrutiny and delays
None by June 30, 2027 jumps to 29%11%
The prediction market saw a significant increase in the probability that no acquisition would close by June 30, 2027, reflecting growing regulatory scrutiny in the UK and other jurisdictions, and concerns about delays in closing the deal. This caused a temporary shift away from Paramount and Netflix outcomes.
Larry Ellison guarantees $40.4B equity financing for Paramount's Warner bid
Paramount rises to 77%3%
Larry Ellison, Oracle founder and father of Paramount CEO David Ellison, personally guaranteed $40.4 billion in equity financing for Paramount's hostile bid, bolstering Paramount's financial backing and intensifying the takeover battle.
Paramount responds to open letter opposing Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition
Paramount issued a statement defending the acquisition, emphasizing the benefits for creators and competition, amid opposition from over 2,000 industry professionals.
Paramount responds to industry opposition to Warner Bros. Discovery merger
Paramount jumps to 83%5%
Paramount issued a statement defending its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery amid opposition from Hollywood professionals and state attorneys general, highlighting the strategic benefits and creative investment potential of the merger. This event underscored regulatory and public scrutiny risks.
Warner Bros. shareholders approve Paramount's $81 billion takeover
Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders overwhelmingly approved the sale to Paramount, increasing market confidence in Paramount's acquisition and boosting its price probability significantly.
Netflix deal eclipsed as Paramount gains shareholder approval
Netflix dips to 1%2%
With Paramount’s shareholder vote and DOJ approval, the previously dominant Netflix deal became irrelevant, collapsing the “Netflix” probability to 1 % and eventually 0 % by late June.
Paramount and Skydance Announce Plans to Combine CBS Sports and TNT Sports
Paramount drops to 71%5%
Paramount and Skydance announced plans to combine CBS Sports and TNT Sports once regulators clear the acquisition, indicating operational consolidation following the acquisition agreement.
Shareholders approve Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery merger
Paramount jumps to 78%5%
Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders approved the merger with Paramount, reinforcing market confidence in Paramount's acquisition and reducing the likelihood of no acquisition or Netflix winning.
Netflix revises Warner Bros. offer to all-cash deal to counter Paramount
Netflix dips to 1%1%
Netflix revised its $72 billion offer for Warner Bros. Discovery to an all-cash transaction, simplifying the deal structure to provide more certainty to shareholders and speed up the shareholder vote, strengthening its competitive position against Paramount's hostile bid.
Warner Bros. Discovery reiterates support for Netflix deal amid ongoing Paramount bid
Warner Bros. Discovery's leadership reaffirmed their commitment to the Netflix acquisition, emphasizing the superior value and certainty of the Netflix deal despite Paramount's ongoing hostile bid and proxy fight.
Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders vote on Netflix merger amid ongoing Paramount talks
Netflix dips to 74%1%
WBD held a special shareholder meeting to vote on the Netflix merger while simultaneously initiating discussions with Paramount for their best and final offer, reflecting ongoing uncertainty and competition between the two bidders.
Warner Bros. Discovery schedules shareholder vote on Netflix merger and Paramount offer
WBD set a special shareholder meeting to vote on the Netflix merger and to consider Paramount's best and final offer, increasing market uncertainty but ultimately favoring Paramount as Netflix's deal was less favored.
Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders approve Paramount's $111 billion acquisition
Paramount jumps to 85%6%
Shareholders of Warner Bros. Discovery approved the Paramount Skydance acquisition, solidifying Paramount's position as the acquirer. This shareholder approval was a key step toward closing the deal, increasing market confidence in Paramount's acquisition.
Paramount completes $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount finalized the acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery for $31 per share, reshaping the media landscape. The deal ended the months-long bidding war and confirmed Paramount as the acquirer of Warner Bros. studios and streaming businesses.
Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders approve Netflix merger
Netflix dips to 0%2%
Shareholders voted on the Netflix merger; the result was a narrow approval, causing the “Netflix” probability to fall to 0 % and the “Paramount” price to stabilize near 78 %.
Netflix withdraws from Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition race
Paramount jumps to 88%14%
Netflix announced it would no longer pursue the acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, citing financial unattractiveness. This cleared the path for Paramount to finalize the acquisition, reflected in Paramount's price surge to 88%.
Paramount launches hostile $77.9B bid challenging Netflix's $72B Warner Bros. deal
Paramount drops to 68%11%
Paramount publicly launched a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, offering $77.9 billion in cash for the entire company, including cable assets Netflix does not want, escalating the bidding war and causing market volatility.
Paramount advances hostile takeover with plans to nominate own Warner Bros. board
Paramount dips to 74%2%
Paramount announced it would nominate its own slate of directors for Warner Bros. Discovery before the next shareholder meeting and filed a lawsuit to compel disclosure of Warner's valuation of bids, intensifying the hostile takeover attempt.
Warner board reaffirms support for Netflix merger
None by June 30, 2027 rises to 15%1%
Warner Bros. Discovery’s board reiterated its recommendation that shareholders approve the Netflix acquisition, effectively diminishing the perceived viability of Paramount’s bid and causing the ‘None by June 30 2027’ outcome to dip further.
Warner Bros. rejects Paramount takeover again, backs Netflix deal
Paramount rises to 14%4%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board again rejected Paramount's hostile takeover bid, reaffirming support for Netflix's offer. This reinforced market confidence in Netflix's deal but Paramount's bid remained active, keeping the contest alive.
Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery Agree to Blockbuster $110 Billion Merger
Paramount surges to 77%24%
Paramount Skydance and Warner Bros. Discovery officially signed a definitive merger agreement valued at $110 billion, with Paramount paying $31 per share in cash.
Paramount's bid gains momentum with backing from Larry Ellison and Middle Eastern funds
Paramount surges to 80%43%
Paramount Skydance's bid strengthened significantly due to financial backing from Larry Ellison and Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds, and perceived regulatory advantages. This caused its market price to surge from 37% to over 80% in early March 2026.
Warner Bros rejects Paramount takeover again, backs Netflix bid
Netflix dips to 2%1%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board rejected Paramount's hostile takeover offer, citing insufficient value and risks, and urged shareholders to support Netflix's $72 billion deal for the studios and streaming business, reinforcing Netflix's position in the market.
Paramount confirmed as winner of Warner Bros. acquisition after Netflix exit
Paramount dips to 76%2%
Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery was confirmed following Netflix's exit, with the deal expected to close in Q3 2026 pending regulatory and shareholder approvals. This solidified Paramount's market position at a high price level.
Paramount confirmed as winning bidder after Netflix bows out of Warner Bros. acquisition race
Paramount rises to 78%2%
Netflix decided not to match Paramount's superior offer, effectively ending its pursuit of Warner Bros. Discovery. This solidified Paramount's position as the likely acquirer, reflected in a rise in its market price.
Paramount CEO details plans post-Warner Bros. acquisition
Paramount dips to 78%3%
Paramount CEO David Ellison announced plans to keep Paramount and Warner Bros. as separate studios with increased film output, signaling confidence in closing the acquisition and operational plans, supporting Paramount's strong market position.
Paramount wins boardroom battle for Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition
Paramount jumps to 83%5%
Paramount Skydance secured control of Warner Bros. Discovery after the board determined its topping bid was superior, solidifying Paramount as the acquirer in the market.
Paramount Skydance secures Department of Justice approval for Warner Bros. acquisition
The U.S. Department of Justice cleared Paramount Skydance’s $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, finding no antitrust violations and stating the deal would likely strengthen competition. This regulatory approval was a major step toward closing the acquisition.
Paramount Announces Merger Plans and Streaming Service Integration
Paramount drops to 76%5%
Paramount announced plans to merge Paramount+ and HBO Max into one streaming service after the acquisition, signaling strategic integration and strengthening its position post-acquisition.
Paramount extends $77.9B hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount dips to 76%3%
Paramount extended its tender offer deadline and doubled down on a proxy fight to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, offering $30 per share in cash for the entire company, challenging Netflix's $72 billion deal for just the studios and streaming business. This escalated the bidding war and increased market uncertainty.
Netflix withdraws from Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition race
Netflix plunges to 2%37%
Netflix officially withdrew its bid to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery after Paramount raised its offer, effectively ending the bidding war and reducing Netflix's market probability to near zero.
Netflix declines to match Paramount's final $31/share offer, ending pursuit
Paramount dips to 1%1%
Netflix chose not to increase its bid beyond Paramount's $31/share all-cash offer, effectively conceding the acquisition to Paramount and causing Netflix's market price to collapse.
Paramount announces $110 billion deal to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount jumps to 87%12%
Paramount Skydance announced a $110 billion deal to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, paying $31 per share in cash, after Netflix declined to match the offer, marking the conclusion of the bidding war and reshaping the media industry.
Netflix declines to improve its Warner Bros. Discovery proposal
Netflix dips to 1%3%
Netflix publicly confirmed it would not renew its bid after Paramount’s superior offer, causing the Netflix probability to collapse to near‑zero (1 %).
Netflix revises Warner Bros. offer to all-cash transaction to counter Paramount
Netflix plunges to 2%48%
Netflix converted its original cash-and-stock offer to an all-cash deal valued at $72 billion to simplify the transaction and increase certainty for shareholders, aiming to counter Paramount's hostile bid.
Netflix's bid probability collapses amid Paramount's rising bid and regulatory concerns
Netflix plunges to 2%44%
By late February 2026, Netflix's market probability sharply declined from around 46% to near 2%, reflecting growing doubts about Netflix's ability to finalize the acquisition amid Paramount's aggressive counterbids and regulatory scrutiny. This shift indicated the market's reassessment favoring Paramount.
Netflix bid collapses amid antitrust concerns and regulatory hurdles
Netflix plunges to 2%38%
Netflix's bid for Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming business collapsed due to antitrust alarms and regulatory challenges, causing its market price to plummet from around 40% to near zero by early March 2026.
Netflix's acquisition chances collapse after Paramount's financing boost
Netflix plunges to 1%48%
Following Paramount's financing guarantee, Netflix's market probability plummeted from 49% to 1%, reflecting investor skepticism about Netflix's ability to outbid Paramount and close the deal.
Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount Skydance sign $110 billion merger agreement
Paramount surges to 78%47%
After Netflix declined to raise its offer, Warner Bros. Discovery agreed to a $110 billion merger deal with Paramount Skydance, marking a decisive shift in the acquisition race and causing Paramount's market price to surge.
Warner Bros. Discovery signs definitive agreement to be acquired by Paramount
Paramount surges to 87%63%
After reopening negotiations, Warner Bros. Discovery determined Paramount’s revised proposal of $31 per share was superior to Netflix’s offer, leading to a signed definitive agreement for acquisition expected to close in Q3 2026.
Warner Bros. Discovery board unanimously selects Paramount's $31 per share offer over Netflix's deal
After reviewing competing bids, Warner Bros. Discovery's board determined Paramount's $31 per share all-cash offer was superior and signed a definitive agreement with Paramount.
Paramount Skydance agrees to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery for $110 billion
Paramount surges to 74%23%
Paramount Skydance announced a definitive agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, including its studios and streaming businesses, for $31 per share, valuing the deal at approximately $110 billion. This followed Netflix's withdrawal and marked a key turning point favoring Paramount.
Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount Skydance Sign Definitive $110 Billion Merger Agreement
Paramount surges to 88%45%
WBD terminated its previous agreement with Netflix and entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by Paramount Skydance for $31.00 per share.
Netflix abandons $83 billion Warner Bros. Discovery deal, accepts $2.8 billion breakup fee
Paramount surges to 73%73%
Netflix withdrew from its acquisition deal after Paramount submitted a superior $111 billion bid, leading to Paramount becoming the likely acquirer and causing Netflix's market probability to drop to zero and Paramount's to surge.
Paramount's bid surges after Larry Ellison's $40 billion personal guarantee
Paramount surges to 86%50%
Paramount's market probability surged from 36% to 86% after Larry Ellison made an irrevocable personal guarantee of $40.4 billion toward Paramount's all-cash offer, significantly boosting confidence in Paramount's ability to close the deal.
Warner Bros. Discovery ends merger talks with Paramount, shares dip
Warner Bros. Discovery halted merger talks with Paramount, signaling the end of the potential merger. This reduced uncertainty and shifted market confidence back towards Netflix, though Paramount remained a contender.
Paramount signs definitive agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 85%51%
Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery signed a definitive agreement to acquire the entire company, including studios and streaming assets. The agreement cemented Paramount as the likely acquirer and was reflected in the large jump in Paramount odds that day.
Paramount Skydance confirms $110 billion deal to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 81%51%
Paramount Skydance confirmed its agreement to acquire all of Warner Bros. Discovery for $110 billion, marking the likely conclusion of the bidding war and setting the stage for regulatory approval and closing.
Netflix drops out of Warner Bros. acquisition bidding war
Netflix plunges to 3%34%
Netflix announced it would not match Paramount's higher bid and effectively dropped out of the acquisition race, causing its market probability to collapse to near zero.
Warner Bros. Discovery board concludes Paramount's $31/share offer is superior; Netflix walks away
Paramount surges to 80%27%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board determined Paramount's revised all-cash offer of $31 per share was superior to Netflix's deal. Netflix declined to match the offer and exited the bidding, paying a $2.8 billion termination fee.
Warner Bros. Discovery board accepts Paramount’s $31 per share offer, ending Netflix deal
Paramount surges to 81%55%
After negotiations and Paramount raising its bid to $31 per share, Warner Bros. Discovery's board determined Paramount’s proposal was superior to Netflix’s and signed a definitive agreement, effectively ending Netflix’s acquisition attempt.
Paramount announces $31 per share offer, winning board approval over Netflix
Paramount surges to 80%30%
Paramount increased its bid to $31 per share in cash, valued at approximately $110 billion, which Warner Bros. Discovery's board deemed superior to Netflix's offer, reopening negotiations and shifting market probabilities heavily in Paramount's favor.
Warner Bros. Discovery board approves Paramount's $31 per share acquisition offer
Paramount surges to 74%37%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board unanimously approved Paramount's definitive merger agreement to acquire the company for $31 per share in cash, effectively ending the bidding war and confirming Paramount as the acquirer.
Paramount Skydance signs $110 bn deal to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount jumps to 84%10%
Paramount Skydance signed a definitive acquisition agreement to buy Warner Bros. Discovery for $31 per share (≈$110 bn). The deal’s signing caused the Paramount outcome to surge to its highest levels (84‑88 %) and effectively eliminated the Netflix probability.
Warner Bros. Discovery signs merger agreement with Paramount Skydance
Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount Skydance signed a definitive agreement for Paramount to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery for $110.9 billion, with the deal expected to close in Q3 2026 pending regulatory and shareholder approvals. This formalized Paramount as the acquirer, solidifying market expectations.
DOJ clears Paramount Skydance’s $110 bn Warner Bros. acquisition
The DOJ announced it would not block the Paramount‑Warner Bros. deal, removing a major regulatory obstacle and reinforcing market confidence in the Paramount outcome, keeping its price near the 84‑% peak.
Netflix revises $72B Warner Bros. offer to all-cash deal
Netflix plunges to 2%46%
Netflix converted its original cash-and-stock offer into an all-cash transaction to simplify the deal and make it more attractive to Warner Bros. shareholders, aiming to counter Paramount's hostile bid. This move initially boosted Netflix's price but was insufficient to regain lost ground.
Paramount Skydance and Warner Bros. Discovery announce definitive merger agreement
Paramount surges to 76%25%
Paramount Skydance and Warner Bros. Discovery entered into a definitive merger agreement for Paramount to acquire WBD for $110.9 billion at $31 per share in cash. This formalized Paramount's position as the leading acquirer, causing market prices for Paramount to surge and Netflix's to decline.
Netflix price collapses after market doubts on deal completion
Netflix plunges to 1%46%
Following reports that regulatory hurdles and the pending spin‑off of Warner’s cable assets could delay the Netflix acquisition, investor confidence eroded sharply, driving Netflix’s market price down to near zero.
Paramount Skydance submits superior $110 billion all-cash bid for Warner Bros.
Paramount surges to 88%57%
Paramount Skydance announced a topping all-cash bid of $31 per share, valuing the deal at approximately $110 billion, surpassing Netflix's offer. This led Warner Bros. Discovery to terminate its agreement with Netflix and accept Paramount's proposal, causing a major shift in market expectations.
Paramount Skydance announces $110 billion acquisition deal for Warner Bros., ending Netflix bidding war
Paramount surges to 75%44%
Paramount Skydance revealed a $110 billion all-cash deal to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, surpassing Netflix's offer and leading Netflix to withdraw, which caused a sharp rise in Paramount's market price and a collapse in Netflix's probability.
Paramount Skydance wins Warner Bros. acquisition bid as Netflix declines to improve offer
Paramount surges to 85%58%
Paramount Skydance's $31 per share offer was accepted after Netflix chose not to increase its bid, effectively ending the bidding war and positioning Paramount as the acquirer.
Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery sign definitive agreement for $110 billion acquisition
Paramount surges to 75%31%
Paramount Skydance signed a definitive agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery for $110 billion, after months of bidding and negotiations, positioning Paramount as the likely acquirer.
Netflix drops Warner Bros. deal after White House visit
Netflix plunges to 0%45%
A CapWolf article reported that Netflix walked away from its Warner Bros. deal after a White House visit, confirming the deal’s collapse. The market’s “Netflix” probability fell to 1 % shortly thereafter and hit 0 % by late April.
Warner Bros. Discovery board approves Paramount’s $31 per share acquisition offer
Paramount surges to 85%55%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board determined Paramount's $31 per share all-cash offer was superior to Netflix's deal, leading Netflix to decline to match the bid and exit the acquisition race. This decision significantly increased Paramount's market probability and ended Netflix's chances.
Warner Bros. Discovery accepts Paramount’s superior $31/share all-cash offer, Netflix withdraws
After Paramount raised its bid to $31 per share, WBD determined Paramount’s offer was superior to Netflix’s, leading Netflix to decline to improve its proposal and exit the bidding war, shifting market favor to Paramount.
Warner Bros. Discovery considers Paramount's bid superior, Netflix declines to increase offer
Paramount surges to 81%50%
Warner Bros. Discovery confirmed Paramount's updated bid was superior, triggering a period for Netflix to improve its offer. Netflix declined, effectively exiting the bidding war, which shifted market confidence strongly toward Paramount.
Netflix CEO visits White House amid antitrust concerns over Warner Bros. deal
Netflix plunges to 1%45%
Netflix CEO Ted Sarandos visited Washington to address antitrust concerns regarding the Warner Bros. acquisition, attempting to secure regulatory approval amid growing scrutiny and a renewed bidding war with Paramount.
Netflix declines to raise offer, effectively exiting bidding war with Paramount
Paramount jumps to 81%5%
Netflix decided not to increase its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, effectively conceding the acquisition to Paramount. This decision led to a decline in Netflix's market price to zero and a rise in Paramount's price as it became the likely acquirer.
Netflix withdraws from Warner Bros. Discovery bidding war, ceding victory to Paramount
Netflix announced it would not match Paramount's higher $111 billion bid, effectively ending its pursuit and leaving Paramount as the likely acquirer of Warner Bros. Discovery after regulatory approval.
Netflix withdraws its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Netflix plunges to 0%45%
Netflix announced it would not match Paramount’s raised offer and withdrew its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, removing the rival bid, caused Netflix‑related market odds to plummet and Paramount‑related odds to spike as investors saw Paramount becoming the clear front‑runner.
Netflix withdraws from Warner Bros. acquisition bidding war
Netflix plunges to 0%45%
Netflix declined to raise its offer beyond Paramount's bid and withdrew from the acquisition race, effectively ending its chances to acquire Warner Bros. and causing its market probability to drop to zero.
Netflix declines to improve offer; Paramount's bid deemed superior by Warner Bros. Discovery board
Paramount surges to 78%50%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board determined Paramount's revised $31 per share all-cash offer was superior to Netflix's proposal. Netflix declined to increase its bid, effectively conceding the acquisition to Paramount. This led to a sharp rise in Paramount's market probability and a collapse of Netflix's chances.
Warner Bros. Discovery board determines Paramount's $31 per share offer superior; Netflix declines to improve bid
Paramount surges to 77%48%
After negotiations, Warner Bros. Discovery's board concluded that Paramount's higher $31 per share all-cash offer was superior to Netflix's, and Netflix chose not to increase its bid, solidifying Paramount's lead in the acquisition race.
Netflix declines to improve bid, effectively ending pursuit of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 82%82%
Netflix declined to improve its offer for Warner Bros. Discovery, effectively ending its pursuit and leaving Paramount's higher all-cash bid as the superior proposal. This decision shifted market confidence decisively towards Paramount as the likely acquirer.
Netflix Pulls Out of Warner Bros. Discovery Bidding Race
Netflix plunges to 4%36%
Netflix announced it would not match Paramount's higher valuation, abandoning its acquisition plans and clearing the path for Paramount to secure the deal.
Netflix withdraws bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, clearing way for Paramount
Paramount dips to 0%1%
Netflix formally withdrew from its planned acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery after the company's board deemed Paramount Skydance's higher all-cash offer superior. Netflix cited financial discipline and the deal no longer being financially attractive at the higher price, effectively ending the bidding war.
Netflix declines to match Paramount's higher bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 76%45%
Netflix announced it would not match Paramount's higher all-cash bid, effectively conceding the bidding war. This led to a sharp decline in Netflix's market price and increased confidence in Paramount's eventual acquisition.
Netflix exits bidding war, declines to raise offer for Warner Bros. Discovery
Netflix announced it would not increase its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, effectively exiting the bidding war. This cleared the way for Paramount to become the leading bidder, shifting market expectations towards a Paramount acquisition.
Warner Bros. Discovery Board Accepts Paramount's Superior $111 Billion Offer
Paramount surges to 81%53%
Warner Bros. Discovery confirmed that Paramount's higher offer of about $111 billion beat Netflix's bid, effectively ending Netflix's chances and boosting Paramount's market price to a peak.
Warner Bros. Discovery deems Paramount’s revised $31/share offer superior, Netflix declines to match
Paramount surges to 81%51%
Warner Bros. Discovery confirmed Paramount’s updated $31 per share all-cash offer was superior to Netflix’s, triggering a period for Netflix to improve its bid. Netflix declined to increase its offer, effectively ending its pursuit and clearing the way for Paramount’s acquisition.
Netflix Declines to Raise Offer for Warner Bros. Discovery
Netflix plunges to 2%35%
Netflix officially stepped away from the bidding war, choosing not to match Paramount's superior bid, which caused its market odds to collapse.
Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery reach agreement; Netflix declines to improve offer
Paramount surges to 81%51%
After negotiations, Warner Bros. Discovery determined Paramount’s revised proposal to acquire all outstanding shares for $31 per share was superior to Netflix’s deal. Netflix declined to improve its offer, effectively ceding the acquisition to Paramount.
Warner Bros. Discovery board declares Paramount's revised $110 billion offer superior
Paramount surges to 85%48%
After Netflix declined to raise its bid, WBD's board determined Paramount's $110 billion offer was a superior proposal, shifting market expectations strongly in favor of Paramount.
Warner Bros. Discovery confirms Paramount's $31-per-share offer beats Netflix's bid
Paramount surges to 76%23%
Warner Bros. Discovery confirmed that Paramount's higher offer of about $110 billion ($31 per share) surpassed Netflix's bid, effectively ending Netflix's chances and boosting Paramount's market probability to a peak.
Warner Bros. Discovery reports Q4 and full year 2025 results
The company reported financial results showing growth in streaming and studios segments, supporting the value of Warner Bros. Discovery's assets and influencing acquisition interest and market prices.
Warner Bros. Discovery board deems Paramount’s bid superior, Netflix withdraws
Paramount surges to 84%42%
WBD’s board officially declared Paramount’s revised $31 per share all-cash offer superior to Netflix’s $27.75 per share deal, triggering Netflix’s withdrawal from the bidding war and clearing the path for Paramount to acquire WBD.
Netflix exits bidding war, declines to raise offer for Warner Bros. Discovery
Netflix plunges to 0%46%
Netflix decided not to counter Paramount Skydance's higher bid, effectively ending its pursuit of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses. This caused Netflix's market probability to drop to zero and boosted Paramount's chances.
Netflix declines to match Paramount's higher bid and exits Warner Bros. Discovery deal
Paramount surges to 86%85%
Netflix chose not to increase its bid to match Paramount's $31 per share offer, citing financial unattractiveness, effectively ending its pursuit and clearing the way for Paramount's acquisition.
Warner Bros. Discovery reviews revised acquisition bid from Paramount
Paramount jumps to 35%14%
Paramount submitted an updated acquisition proposal to Warner Bros. Discovery, intensifying the bidding contest against Netflix. This renewed offer increased Paramount's market probability as investors saw it as a stronger bid.
Warner Bros. Discovery opens talks with Paramount amid Netflix merger deal
Warner Bros. Discovery agreed to a limited negotiation window with Paramount to consider an improved offer, while continuing to support the Netflix merger. Paramount indicated willingness to increase its bid to $31 per share.
Paramount submits revised acquisition proposal for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount Skydance submitted an updated bid to Warner Bros. Discovery addressing previous board concerns, attempting to re-engage leadership and compete with Netflix's offer in the ongoing acquisition battle.
Paramount submits higher offer for Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition
Paramount jumps to 78%8%
Paramount raised its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery with significant financial backing from Larry Ellison and others, intensifying the bidding war and causing a modest market reaction with Paramount's price rising and Netflix's price slightly increasing.
Warner Bros. Discovery opens talks with Paramount amid Netflix merger support
Warner Bros. Discovery began a limited discussion period with Paramount to consider its higher offer, while continuing to support the Netflix merger. This created market volatility and uncertainty about the deal's outcome.
Paramount extends tender offer deadline for Warner Bros. shares
Paramount surges to 85%49%
Paramount extended the deadline for its tender offer to acquire Warner Bros. shares, signaling persistence in its hostile bid and causing a sharp rise in Paramount's market price as investors anticipated increased chances of success.
Netflix declines to raise offer, effectively exiting bidding war with Paramount
Paramount dips to 1%2%
Netflix announced it would not increase its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, effectively conceding the bidding war to Paramount Skydance, which had offered a higher all-cash price. This marked a turning point favoring Paramount's acquisition.
Warner Bros. Discovery reopens talks with Paramount after Netflix grants seven-day waiver
Paramount surges to 53%21%
Netflix gave Paramount a seven-day waiver to negotiate a best and final offer, leading Warner Bros. Discovery to reopen discussions with Paramount. This increased Paramount's market probability as it indicated a potential superior offer.
Warner Bros. Discovery reopens deal talks with Paramount, Netflix grants waiver
Paramount surges to 51%18%
Warner Bros. Discovery reopened negotiations with Paramount Skydance after Netflix granted a seven-day waiver to allow a 'best and final' offer. Paramount increased its bid to $31 per share, surpassing Netflix's offer, which pressured Netflix and shifted market probabilities toward Paramount.
Netflix declines to match Paramount's higher bid and withdraws from acquisition race
Netflix announced it would no longer pursue the acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, citing financial unattractiveness, clearing the path for Paramount and causing Netflix's market probability to collapse to near zero.
Paramount lifts offer to $31 per share with $40 bn Ellison equity guarantee
Paramount surges to 79%27%
Bloomberg reported Paramount raised its per‑share offer to $31 and added a $40 bn equity guarantee from Larry Ellison, pushing the “Paramount” price to a new high of 79 % by early March.
Warner Bros. Discovery Reopens Buyout Talks with Paramount Skydance
Paramount surges to 54%17%
WBD announced it reopened discussions with Paramount Skydance, giving them a week to submit a final offer to challenge Netflix's existing $83 billion deal.
Warner Bros. Discovery Reopens Merger Discussions with Paramount Skydance Under Netflix Waiver
Paramount surges to 53%17%
WBD announced it would initiate a limited seven-day discussion window with Paramount Skydance to evaluate their improved offer, after Netflix granted a narrow waiver.
Netflix declines to improve its offer for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 74%28%
Netflix declined to raise its bid after Paramount increased its offer, signaling Netflix's exit from the bidding war and shifting market probabilities decisively toward Paramount.
Warner Bros. Discovery reopens acquisition talks with Paramount amid lawsuit
WBD reopened negotiations with Paramount to consider its best and final offer after Paramount sued WBD for refusing to engage, though WBD continued to favor Netflix’s deal.
Warner Bros. Discovery reopens acquisition talks with Paramount after lawsuit
Paramount surges to 85%43%
Following Paramount's lawsuit, WBD reopened talks with Paramount to consider its best and final offer, signaling a shift in negotiations and causing Paramount's market price to rise sharply.
Netflix Grants Paramount Seven-Day Waiver to Improve Offer
Paramount surges to 81%39%
Netflix gave Paramount a seven-day waiver to improve its offer, signaling a potential reopening of negotiations and causing Paramount's market price to rise significantly.
Warner Bros. Discovery board reviews Paramount’s revised $30-per-share offer amid Netflix deal
Paramount rises to 76%3%
Paramount submitted a revised $30 per share offer with additional financial incentives, prompting Warner Bros. Discovery's board to reassess its options despite the existing Netflix deal. This development maintained Paramount's strong market position and kept pressure on Netflix.
Warner Bros. Discovery reopens takeover talks with Paramount after Netflix waiver
Paramount surges to 51%20%
Warner Bros. Discovery announced it would reopen formal talks with Paramount after receiving a waiver from Netflix, sparking a sharp rise in the “Paramount” price to 51 % and a dip for “Netflix”.
Paramount sweetens bid with ticking fee and breakup fee coverage
Paramount Skydance enhanced its offer by adding a quarterly ticking fee and agreeing to cover Netflix’s $5.8 billion breakup fee if the Netflix deal collapsed, aiming to make its bid more attractive and address shareholder concerns about deal certainty.
Paramount enhances bid with ticking fee and breakup fee coverage
Paramount jumps to 36%5%
Paramount added a ticking fee and promised to cover Warner Bros. Discovery's breakup fee owed to Netflix, making its offer more attractive and increasing pressure on Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery's board.
Paramount adds shareholder incentives and ticking fee to Warner Bros. Discovery bid
Paramount jumps to 36%9%
Paramount Skydance enhanced its acquisition offer by including a $0.25 per share quarterly ticking fee for delays and agreeing to cover Warner Bros. Discovery's breakup fee owed to Netflix, increasing the attractiveness of its bid and pressuring shareholders.
Paramount Submits Amended $30 Per Share Cash Proposal to Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount jumps to 36%8%
Paramount submitted an updated, formal proposal of $30 per share in cash, putting pressure on WBD's board to reconsider their support for the Netflix deal.
Paramount revises offer, adds quarterly payout to Warner Bros. Discovery bid
Paramount surges to 81%45%
Paramount revised its offer, adding a per‑quarter payment to sweeten the deal. The announcement spurred the market’s “Paramount” price to jump from the low‑40s to a peak of 81 % on Mar 4, the highest level in the analysis window.
Paramount Skydance enhances bid with breakup fee coverage and ticking fee incentives
Paramount jumps to 36%6%
Paramount improved its offer by agreeing to cover Netflix's $5.8 billion breakup fee and adding a quarterly ticking fee to increase bid value if delayed, pressuring Netflix and WBD shareholders to reconsider.
Paramount submits $30 per share hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount launched a hostile $108.4 billion all-cash bid at $30 per share to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, surpassing Netflix's offer and challenging the existing agreement. This intensified the bidding war and created uncertainty about the final acquirer.
Paramount submits sweetened $30 per share bid and opens talks with Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount submitted an improved $30 per share cash offer and entered a limited discussion period with Warner Bros. Discovery, challenging Netflix's merger agreement.
Paramount Skydance sues Warner Bros. Discovery over Netflix deal disclosure
Paramount rises to 71%2%
Paramount sued Warner Bros. Discovery to force disclosure of the Netflix deal terms, briefly reviving the “Paramount” price to 71 % before the market settled.
Netflix intensifies bid for Warner Bros. Discovery with all-cash offer
Netflix revised its acquisition offer to an all-cash $72 billion deal to win shareholder support and counter Paramount Skydance's hostile bid, aiming to simplify the transaction and accelerate shareholder approval.
Netflix intensifies bid with all-cash $72 billion offer for Warner Bros. Discovery studios and streaming
Netflix dips to 66%2%
Netflix revised its offer to an all-cash $72 billion bid to win over shareholders and counter Paramount's hostile takeover attempt, aiming to simplify the deal and accelerate shareholder approval.
Netflix revises Warner Bros. acquisition offer to all-cash $72 billion deal
Netflix jumps to 31%5%
Netflix increased its offer to an all-cash deal valued at $72 billion to provide greater certainty and expedite shareholder approval amid competition from Paramount's hostile bid.
Netflix revises Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition to all-cash offer
Netflix jumps to 6%5%
Netflix amended its acquisition offer to an all-cash deal at $27.75 per share to increase deal certainty and discourage competing bids, intensifying the acquisition battle.
Netflix switches to all-cash offer to accelerate Warner Bros. acquisition
Netflix jumps to 65%9%
Netflix amended its acquisition agreement to an all-cash deal valued at $27.75 per share to provide greater certainty and speed up shareholder approval, aiming to fend off Paramount's hostile bid. This move temporarily bolstered Netflix's market position.
Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery amend acquisition deal to all-cash transaction
Netflix surges to 71%15%
Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery revised their acquisition agreement to an all-cash deal valued at $27.75 per share, aiming to provide greater certainty to shareholders and strengthen Netflix's position amid the bidding war.
Netflix revises Warner Bros. acquisition offer to all-cash to counter Paramount's bid
Netflix jumps to 53%7%
Netflix converted its $72 billion cash-and-stock offer into an all-cash deal at $27.75 per share to provide shareholders with enhanced certainty and accelerate approval, aiming to counter Paramount's hostile bid.
Larry Ellison guarantees $40.4 billion for Paramount bid
Paramount drops to 78%7%
Oracle founder Larry Ellison pledged a personal guarantee for $40.4 billion of equity financing for Paramount’s offer, addressing concerns about the bid’s financing and temporarily boosting confidence in Paramount’s chance to close the deal.
Netflix amends Warner Bros. Discovery deal to all-cash transaction
Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery amended their acquisition agreement to an all-cash deal at $27.75 per share to increase deal certainty and speed shareholder vote. This move was partly to counter Paramount's hostile $30 per share bid.
Netflix amends Warner Bros. deal to all-cash offer amid Paramount's hostile bid
Netflix plunges to 42%15%
Netflix converted its Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition offer to an all-cash deal to increase certainty and discourage competing bids, while Paramount Skydance launched a hostile tender offer at a higher price. This intensified the bidding war and caused volatility in market prices.
Netflix updates Warner Bros. bid to all-cash offer to fend off Paramount
Netflix jumps to 61%7%
Netflix amended its offer to an all-cash $27.75 per share bid, gaining unanimous support from Warner Bros. Discovery's board and aiming to counter Paramount's hostile bid. This move initially boosted Netflix's price but was followed by volatility as the bidding war continued.
Netflix’s acquisition deal faces industry backlash and regulatory scrutiny
Netflix plunges to 4%34%
Hollywood creatives and theater owners expressed strong opposition to Netflix’s proposed acquisition, citing concerns over theatrical releases and market concentration, impacting market sentiment.
Warner Bros. Discovery rejects Paramount’s $108 billion leveraged buyout offer
Warner Bros. Discovery's board unanimously rejected Paramount's amended $108.4 billion offer, citing it as a risky leveraged buyout with excessive debt and operational risks. The board recommended shareholders accept Netflix's lower but more secure cash-and-stock deal, influencing market confidence.
Paramount sues Warner Bros. Discovery over Netflix deal disclosure
Paramount filed a lawsuit against Warner Bros. Discovery seeking disclosure of financial details about the Netflix deal, alleging the board failed to provide full and truthful information. This legal action highlighted the contentious nature of the acquisition process and affected market confidence.
Paramount Skydance sues Warner Bros. Discovery for disclosure on Netflix deal
Paramount filed a lawsuit seeking detailed financial disclosures about Warner Bros. Discovery's pending Netflix deal, alleging shareholders lacked sufficient information to compare offers. This legal action highlighted the ongoing battle and affected market confidence in Netflix's bid.
Paramount files antitrust lawsuit to block Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition
Paramount rises to 77%4%
Paramount filed an antitrust lawsuit alleging that its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery would harm competition, intensifying the legal and regulatory scrutiny around the deal and impacting market confidence.
Paramount Skydance files lawsuit against Warner Bros. Discovery over Netflix deal disclosures
Paramount Skydance sued Warner Bros. Discovery seeking disclosure of financial details related to the Netflix acquisition deal, alleging shareholders lacked sufficient information to compare offers. This legal action escalated the corporate battle and influenced shareholder sentiment.
Paramount Skydance files lawsuit seeking financial details of Netflix deal with Warner Bros.
Paramount plunges to 26%18%
Paramount filed a lawsuit demanding Warner Bros. Discovery disclose financial details of the Netflix acquisition deal, aiming to convince shareholders that Paramount's $30/share offer is superior, escalating the takeover battle.
Paramount files lawsuit against Warner Bros. Discovery over Netflix deal transparency
Paramount Skydance filed a lawsuit demanding Warner Bros. Discovery disclose details about the Netflix acquisition deal, escalating the corporate battle and reflecting Paramount's aggressive pursuit of the acquisition.
Paramount files lawsuit seeking financial details on Warner Bros. Discovery Netflix deal
Paramount Skydance filed a lawsuit against Warner Bros. Discovery demanding more financial transparency on the Netflix deal, attempting to sway shareholders and challenge the board's decision. This legal action maintained pressure on the market and kept Paramount's bid relevant.
Warner Bros. Discovery rejects Paramount’s amended $108 billion takeover offer
Warner Bros. Discovery's board unanimously rejected Paramount's amended takeover offer, citing excessive debt risk and preferring the Netflix deal, which created legal and shareholder tensions affecting market perceptions.
Paramount reiterates $30-per-share all-cash bid backed by Larry Ellison
Paramount jumps to 26%5%
Paramount publicly reaffirmed its $30-per-share all-cash offer for Warner Bros. Discovery, emphasizing its superiority over Netflix's bid and highlighting backing by Larry Ellison. This strengthened Paramount's position and influenced investor confidence.
Paramount launches hostile all-cash tender offer for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount jumps to 33%13%
Paramount Skydance launched a hostile all-cash tender offer to acquire all outstanding shares of Warner Bros. Discovery for $30 per share, valuing the company at approximately $108.4 billion. This offer surpassed Netflix's bid and intensified the bidding war, causing market shifts favoring Paramount.
Deadline for Paramount's tender offer expires amid ongoing acquisition battle
Paramount jumps to 21%5%
Paramount's tender offer deadline expired, creating a decisive moment for Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders to consider the competing offers. The market showed volatility as investors weighed the likelihood of each bid closing.
Paramount reiterates superior $108.4 billion bid over Netflix's offer
Paramount rises to 32%2%
Paramount publicly stated that its all-cash bid was superior to Netflix's deal, emphasizing the value of Warner Bros. Discovery's cable assets excluded by Netflix. This reinforced market confidence in Paramount's bid.
Paramount’s tender offer for Warner Bros. Discovery expires
Paramount rises to 31%1%
The tender offer deadline for Paramount’s bid passed without a binding agreement, causing the “Paramount” price to fall back toward the low‑30s and the “None” price to edge up slightly.
Warner Bros. board recommends shareholders reject Paramount's offer in favor of Netflix's
Netflix rises to 31%1%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board publicly rejected Paramount's hostile bid, citing significant risks and debt financing, and urged shareholders to support Netflix's offer, reinforcing Netflix's position despite Paramount's higher cash bid.
Netflix declines to match Paramount’s $31 per share offer, exiting bidding war
Paramount surges to 85%84%
Netflix announced it would not raise its bid to match Paramount's $31 per share offer, effectively withdrawing from the acquisition contest. This cleared the path for Paramount to become the leading bidder and increased market confidence in Paramount's eventual acquisition.
Comcast withdraws from Warner Bros. acquisition bidding
Comcast plunges to 0%33%
Comcast's president disclosed that the company's bid was light on cash compared to Netflix and Paramount, leading to Comcast's decision not to pursue the acquisition further. This caused Comcast's market price to drop to near zero.
Warner Bros. Discovery board rejects Paramount's $108.4 billion hostile bid
Netflix plunges to 23%34%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board unanimously rejected Paramount Skydance's hostile all-cash bid, citing it as a risky leveraged buyout, thereby supporting Netflix's existing deal and causing market uncertainty for Paramount's chances.
Warner Bros. Discovery calls Paramount lawsuit 'meritless' amid takeover battle
Paramount rises to 28%2%
WBD responded to Paramount's lawsuit demanding more financial details on the Netflix deal by calling it 'meritless' and accused Paramount of distracting shareholders. This legal conflict underscored the intense competition and affected market confidence in Paramount's bid.
Warner Bros. Discovery rejects Paramount's takeover bid, backs Netflix deal
Warner Bros. Discovery's board rejected Paramount's hostile takeover bid and reaffirmed support for Netflix's offer, reinforcing Netflix's favored status and causing market shifts against Paramount.
Warner Bros. Discovery rejects Paramount’s $108 billion hostile bid
Paramount plunges to 28%20%
Warner Bros. Discovery publicly rejected Paramount's hostile takeover bid, citing financing uncertainty and excessive risk, reaffirming its support for the Netflix deal and causing Paramount's market probability to drop temporarily.
Larry Ellison personally guarantees $40.4B in Paramount's hostile bid
Paramount jumps to 31%8%
Larry Ellison, father of Paramount CEO David Ellison, personally guaranteed $40.4 billion in equity financing for Paramount's bid, strengthening the financial backing and credibility of the hostile offer. This caused a significant increase in Paramount's market price.
Netflix revises Warner Bros. Discovery deal to all-cash offer
Netflix jumps to 53%7%
Netflix amended its acquisition agreement to convert the deal into an all-cash transaction valued at $27.75 per share, aiming to simplify the deal and accelerate shareholder approval, reinforcing Netflix's position temporarily.
Paramount prepares $30 per share tender offer for Warner Bros. Discovery shares
Paramount jumps to 34%7%
Paramount escalated its bid by preparing a $30 per share tender offer, signaling a serious challenge to Netflix and increasing its market probability. This move intensified the bidding war and shifted market expectations toward Paramount.
Paramount extends tender offer deadline to Jan 21
Paramount surges to 85%62%
Paramount announced an extension of its tender offer window, giving shareholders more time to consider its $77.9 billion proposal, which revived hopes for Paramount’s success and lifted its price sharply.
Larry Ellison pledges $40.4 billion personal guarantee for Paramount’s Warner Bros bid
Paramount jumps to 23%9%
Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison personally guaranteed $40.4 billion in equity financing to back Paramount’s hostile bid, addressing concerns about financing reliability and strengthening Paramount’s position in the bidding war.
Warner board recommends shareholders back Netflix deal
Netflix plunges to 23%24%
Warner Bros. Discovery’s board issued a formal recommendation that shareholders reject Paramount’s bid and support Netflix’s acquisition, reinforcing market belief that Netflix is the likely acquirer and pushing the Netflix outcome higher.
Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery boards reaffirm commitment to Netflix deal amid Paramount bid
Netflix drops to 56%10%
Despite Paramount's hostile bid, Warner Bros. Discovery's board unanimously supported the Netflix deal, urging shareholders to reject Paramount's offer, which maintained Netflix's position as the preferred acquirer at that time.
Paramount launches hostile $108 billion bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 27%20%
Paramount Skydance launched a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, offering $30 per share, backed by Larry Ellison's personal guarantee. This challenged Netflix's deal and introduced uncertainty, causing Netflix's price to fluctuate and Paramount's to initially drop then rise.
Paramount revises offer, raises bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount rises to 74%2%
Paramount revised its tender, increasing the offer price and adding new financing guarantees, prompting a spike in the Paramount price (peak‑84% in June 2026) and a corresponding decline of the Netflix probability.
Warner Bros. Discovery rejects $108 billion Paramount Skydance merger proposal
Paramount plunges to 32%16%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board rejected a $108 billion acquisition proposal from Paramount Skydance citing concerns over financing and sovereign wealth fund involvement, causing Paramount's market probability to drop sharply.
Warner Bros. Discovery rejects Paramount's $108 billion bid, reaffirms Netflix deal
Netflix surges to 47%19%
Warner Bros. Discovery rejected Paramount's hostile bid citing concerns over financing and sovereign wealth fund involvement, reaffirming its pending merger with Netflix. This led to a temporary rebound in Netflix's market probability.
Warner Bros. Discovery board rejects Paramount's hostile bid, backs Netflix deal
Netflix surges to 66%38%
WBD's board formally rejected Paramount's takeover bid, reaffirming commitment to Netflix's merger agreement, citing superior terms and financing certainty, which influenced market prices.
Analysts cite rising acquisition odds for Warner Bros. Discovery
None by June 30, 2027 plunges to 5%42%
A sharp drop in the “None by June 30 2027” price to 5 % coincided with market analysts noting the increasing likelihood of a deal, reducing the probability that no acquisition would occur.
Warner Bros. Discovery board rejects Paramount's $108 billion bid, supports Netflix deal
Netflix rises to 31%3%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board formally rejected Paramount's hostile takeover bid, reaffirming its support for Netflix's $82.7 billion deal, citing risks and regulatory concerns with Paramount's offer. This reinforced Netflix's favored status temporarily.
Warner Bros. Discovery rejects Paramount's offer citing inadequate value
Paramount plunges to 21%27%
Warner Bros. Discovery rejected Paramount's offer, which was higher than Netflix's, citing inadequate value for shareholders. This rejection caused a drop in Paramount's market price and prolonged the bidding competition.
Warner Bros. Discovery rejects Paramount’s $30/share acquisition offer, supports Netflix deal
Netflix drops to 59%6%
WBD’s board formally rejected Paramount’s hostile takeover bid, reaffirming support for Netflix’s merger agreement, which temporarily bolstered Netflix’s position and pressured Paramount’s bid.
Paramount launches hostile $77.9 billion takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount challenged Netflix's friendly deal by making a hostile all-cash offer worth $77.9 billion for all of Warner Bros. Discovery, including cable assets Netflix does not want, increasing its market probability sharply.
Analysts question whether Netflix‑Warner deal will close
None by June 30, 2027 drops to 16%8%
After Netflix’s initial announcement, the market briefly shifted toward the 'None' outcome as analysts weighed whether the deal would close; the price dipped to the lowest point (16 %) for the ‘None’ option.
Netflix revises offer to all‑cash structure
Netflix plunges to 43%23%
Netflix announced it would convert its $72 billion bid for Warner’s studios and streaming business into an all‑cash deal, aiming to simplify the transaction and sway shareholders away from Paramount’s proposal, causing Netflix’s price to surge.
Comcast's bid for Warner Bros. Discovery fades to near zero
Comcast plunges to 0%33%
Comcast's market probability dropped sharply from 33% to 0% by mid-December 2025, indicating its bid lost traction early in the bidding war and was not considered a serious contender.
Warner Bros. Discovery rejects Paramount’s $30/share acquisition offer, supports Netflix deal
Netflix surges to 66%38%
WBD's board formally rejected Paramount's hostile bid and reaffirmed support for Netflix's agreement, causing Paramount's market price to drop and Netflix's to stabilize.
Warner Bros. Discovery board rejects Paramount's $108 billion bid, supports Netflix deal
Netflix jumps to 31%5%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board unanimously rejected Paramount's higher bid, reaffirming support for Netflix's $82.7 billion deal, citing risks and regulatory concerns with Paramount's offer, which maintained Netflix as the favored acquirer.
Warner Bros. recommends shareholders reject Paramount's offer in favor of Netflix's
Paramount plunges to 32%16%
Warner Bros. Discovery's board urged shareholders to reject Paramount's hostile bid, citing risks and costs, and to support Netflix's offer, which it deemed superior. This led to a decline in Paramount's price and a temporary rebound in Netflix's price.
Warner Bros. Discovery urges shareholders to reject Paramount's hostile bid
Netflix drops to 56%10%
Warner Bros. Discovery publicly urged shareholders to reject Paramount's hostile $108 billion takeover proposal, stating Netflix's offer remains superior, supporting Netflix's position and pressuring Paramount's bid.
Paramount files Delaware suit demanding valuation details of its bid
Paramount plunges to 28%20%
Paramount Skydance sued Warner Bros. Discovery in Delaware Chancery Court to force disclosure of how the company values Paramount’s offer versus Netflix’s, intensifying the takeover contest and boosting Paramount’s odds.
Paramount Skydance submits hostile $108.4 billion bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 25%23%
Paramount Skydance launched a hostile all-cash bid to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, surpassing Netflix's offer by about $18 billion. This intensified the bidding war and challenged Netflix's position as the likely acquirer.
Comcast discloses failed bid and exits Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition race
Comcast plunges to 1%32%
Comcast co-CEO Michael Cavanagh announced that Comcast would not continue pursuing Warner Bros. Discovery after a hostile bid from Paramount and Netflix's deal announcement, leading to Comcast's market probability dropping to zero.
Comcast proposes combining NBCUniversal with Warner Bros. in new bid
Comcast proposed a new bid to merge Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming assets with NBCUniversal, aiming to create a new entertainment company. This bid increased Comcast's market presence but was ultimately less competitive than Netflix and Paramount.
Paramount launches hostile $30-per-share all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 28%20%
Paramount made an unsolicited all-cash offer of $30 per share for Warner Bros. Discovery, valuing the company at about $108.4 billion, challenging Netflix's earlier deal and causing a sharp drop in Paramount's market price initially but setting the stage for a bidding war.
Paramount launches $108 billion hostile all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 28%20%
Paramount Skydance launched a hostile all-cash tender offer to acquire all outstanding shares of Warner Bros. Discovery for $108.4 billion, surpassing Netflix's offer and challenging Netflix's position as the leading bidder.
Paramount raises bid to $108 billion to challenge Netflix for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 79%46%
Paramount Skydance made a hostile all-cash bid of $108.4 billion, significantly higher than Netflix's offer, intensifying the bidding war and causing a sharp increase in Paramount's market probability and a collapse in Netflix's.
Paramount launches hostile $77.9B takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 77%29%
Paramount initiated a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, offering $30 per share in cash, surpassing Netflix's $72 billion friendly offer. This move sparked a bidding war and caused Paramount's market price to rise sharply while Netflix's price began to decline.
Comcast enters Warner Bros. bidding but with low odds of success
Comcast plunges to 0%33%
Comcast joined the bidding for Warner Bros. Discovery but acknowledged its offer was light on cash compared to Netflix and Paramount, leading to low market confidence and eventual withdrawal from the race, reflected in Comcast's price dropping to near zero.
Paramount Skydance makes $108.4 bn hostile all‑cash offer for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 30%18%
Paramount Skydance launched a hostile all‑cash bid of $30 per share ($108.4 bn) for the whole company. The price for the “Paramount” outcome jumped from 48 % to 30 % as investors weighed the higher headline value against the Netflix deal.
Paramount Skydance launches hostile $108.4 billion all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 28%20%
Paramount Skydance launched a hostile takeover bid offering $108.4 billion for all Warner Bros. Discovery shares, including cable networks, challenging Netflix's deal and causing market volatility with Paramount's price initially dropping then rising.
Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery announce definitive agreement for $72 billion acquisition
Netflix surges to 66%20%
On December 8, 2025, Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery announced a definitive agreement for Netflix to acquire Warner Bros.' studios and streaming business for $72 billion, pending the separation of Discovery Global. This formal agreement initially boosted Netflix's market probability but was later challenged by Paramount's higher bid.
Paramount launches $108 billion counteroffer for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 85%37%
Paramount Skydance submitted a $108.4 billion bid to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, challenging Netflix's earlier agreement and intensifying the bidding war, which caused market prices to shift in favor of Paramount.
Paramount Skydance launches hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 28%20%
Paramount Skydance, backed by the Ellison family, launched a competing all-cash tender offer to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, challenging Netflix's deal and sparking a bidding war.
Paramount Skydance launches $108.4 billion all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 39%15%
Paramount Skydance countered Netflix's offer with a higher $108.4 billion all-cash bid for the entire Warner Bros. Discovery, including cable networks, backed by Larry Ellison and sovereign wealth funds. This intensified the bidding war and caused a sharp rise in Paramount's market price.
Netflix announces $82.7 billion deal to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery studios and streaming assets
Netflix surges to 66%20%
Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery announced a definitive agreement for Netflix to acquire Warner Bros.' film and TV studios, HBO, and HBO Max for $82.7 billion, marking a major media transaction and initially positioning Netflix as the leading acquirer.
Paramount launches hostile $108 billion bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 48%20%
Paramount Skydance launched a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery with a $108 billion offer, challenging Netflix's deal and causing market uncertainty and volatility, with Paramount's probability rising and Netflix's falling.
Paramount, Netflix, and Comcast submit bids for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount, Netflix, and Comcast submitted formal bids to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery or its core assets, initiating a competitive bidding process that influenced market probabilities for each potential acquirer.
Paramount Skydance submits $30‑per‑share hostile tender offer for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount Skydance launched an all‑cash hostile tender offer (≈$30 per share) for all of Warner Bros. Discovery, directly challenging Netflix’s agreement and causing a sharp rise in the Paramount outcome and a rapid collapse of the Netflix probability.
Paramount Launches Hostile Bid for Control of Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 25%23%
Paramount Skydance launched an aggressive counter-bid of $108.4 billion ($30 per share) for the entirety of Warner Bros. Discovery, challenging Netflix's pending partial acquisition.
Paramount makes all-cash $108 billion hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 28%20%
Paramount launched a hostile takeover bid offering $30 per share in cash, challenging Netflix's friendly deal and causing market volatility with Paramount's probability rising and Netflix's falling.
Paramount launches $108.4 billion all-cash tender offer for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 28%20%
Paramount Skydance announced an all-cash tender offer to acquire all outstanding shares of Warner Bros. Discovery for $30 per share, surpassing Netflix's offer and initiating a bidding war that shifted market probabilities toward Paramount.
Paramount launches hostile all-cash tender offer for Warner Bros. Discovery at $30 per share
Paramount surges to 48%20%
Paramount Skydance launched a hostile all-cash tender offer to acquire all outstanding shares of Warner Bros. Discovery at $30 per share, surpassing Netflix's offer and intensifying the bidding war. This caused a sharp increase in Paramount's market probability and a decline for Netflix.
Comcast withdraws from Warner Bros. bidding, citing low likelihood of success
Comcast plunges to 2%31%
Comcast acknowledged its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery was unlikely to succeed due to a cash-light offer compared to rivals Netflix and Paramount, leading to its withdrawal from the bidding process early on.
Paramount launches hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery at $30 per share
Paramount plunges to 24%24%
Paramount Skydance responded to Netflix's deal by launching a hostile all-cash tender offer at $30 per share, valuing Warner Bros. Discovery at $108.4 billion, challenging Netflix's acquisition and escalating the bidding war.
Netflix announces $72 billion deal to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery
Netflix struck a friendly agreement to buy Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses for $72 billion, setting the initial market expectation for Netflix to close the acquisition.
Paramount launches hostile $77.9 billion bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount dips to 47%1%
Paramount Skydance submitted a hostile all-cash bid to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, intensifying the acquisition competition and challenging Netflix's initial agreement. This led to a decline in Netflix's market price and a rise in Paramount's price.
Paramount launches hostile $108.4 billion all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount plunges to 28%20%
Paramount Skydance launched a hostile all-cash bid surpassing Netflix's offer, aiming to acquire the entire Warner Bros. Discovery company, intensifying the bidding war and causing market volatility.
Paramount makes all-cash $30 per share offer for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount surges to 63%15%
Paramount launched a hostile all-cash tender offer to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery for $108.4 billion, challenging Netflix's deal and causing a surge in Paramount's acquisition probability and a decline in Netflix's.
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