OpenAI’s September 3 launch of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the top Code Arena WebDev spot at 1,797 points, has shifted trader focus toward Anthropic as the clear second-place lab at 78.6% implied probability. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants hold steady at 1,762 and nearby scores on the crowdsourced Elo leaderboard, reflecting strong agentic frontend coding, tool use, and iterative web-app performance backed by prior releases and consistent community votes. Chinese labs like Alibaba’s Qwen and Moonshot trail further back after brief earlier gains, while OpenAI’s new lead leaves little room for others to challenge second place before month-end resolution. Traders appear to view Anthropic’s established coding strengths and recent model cadence as durable enough to hold this position amid rapid leaderboard movement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 78.6%
OpenAI 17.3%
Alibaba 3.0%
Moonshot 2.4%
$67,734 Vol.
$67,734 Vol.

Anthropic
79%

OpenAI
17%

Alibaba
3%

Moonshot
2%

SpaceXAI
1%

Tencent
1%

Z.ai
<1%

Meta
<1%

<1%

ByteDance
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Thinky
<1%

Poolside
<1%

Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 78.6%
OpenAI 17.3%
Alibaba 3.0%
Moonshot 2.4%
$67,734 Vol.
$67,734 Vol.

Anthropic
79%

OpenAI
17%

Alibaba
3%

Moonshot
2%

SpaceXAI
1%

Tencent
1%

Z.ai
<1%

Meta
<1%

<1%

ByteDance
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Thinky
<1%

Poolside
<1%

Mistral
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 3 launch of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the top Code Arena WebDev spot at 1,797 points, has shifted trader focus toward Anthropic as the clear second-place lab at 78.6% implied probability. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants hold steady at 1,762 and nearby scores on the crowdsourced Elo leaderboard, reflecting strong agentic frontend coding, tool use, and iterative web-app performance backed by prior releases and consistent community votes. Chinese labs like Alibaba’s Qwen and Moonshot trail further back after brief earlier gains, while OpenAI’s new lead leaves little room for others to challenge second place before month-end resolution. Traders appear to view Anthropic’s established coding strengths and recent model cadence as durable enough to hold this position amid rapid leaderboard movement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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