Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude experiencing downtime on 12+ days in April 2026 (89.5% implied probability), driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated disruptions to claude.ai—including elevated errors and outages on April 15 (affecting login and core services for nearly three hours), April 13 (48-minute downtime), April 17 (Google Drive upload failures), and earlier incidents on April 6-10. This pattern, amid user backlash over declining large language model performance and capacity constraints during aggressive scaling, has already confirmed non-green uptime status for at least eight days through April 17, with traders anticipating further instability across the remaining 13 days despite ongoing fixes. A shift to 9-11 days (9.5%) would require marked reliability improvements, while 6-8 (0.4%) appears foreclosed by recent history.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড12+ 90%
9-11 10%
6-8 <1%
$64,829 Vol.
$64,829 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
6-8
<1%
9-11
10%
12+
90%
12+ 90%
9-11 10%
6-8 <1%
$64,829 Vol.
$64,829 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
6-8
$9,644 Vol.
<1%
9-11
$8,215 Vol.
10%
12+
$14,673 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude experiencing downtime on 12+ days in April 2026 (89.5% implied probability), driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated disruptions to claude.ai—including elevated errors and outages on April 15 (affecting login and core services for nearly three hours), April 13 (48-minute downtime), April 17 (Google Drive upload failures), and earlier incidents on April 6-10. This pattern, amid user backlash over declining large language model performance and capacity constraints during aggressive scaling, has already confirmed non-green uptime status for at least eight days through April 17, with traders anticipating further instability across the remaining 13 days despite ongoing fixes. A shift to 9-11 days (9.5%) would require marked reliability improvements, while 6-8 (0.4%) appears foreclosed by recent history.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$64,829শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude experiencing downtime on 12+ days in April 2026 (89.5% implied probability), driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated disruptions to claude.ai—including elevated errors and outages on April 15 (affecting login and core services for nearly three hours), April 13 (48-minute downtime), April 17 (Google Drive upload failures), and earlier incidents on April 6-10. This pattern, amid user backlash over declining large language model performance and capacity constraints during aggressive scaling, has already confirmed non-green uptime status for at least eight days through April 17, with traders anticipating further instability across the remaining 13 days despite ongoing fixes. A shift to 9-11 days (9.5%) would require marked reliability improvements, while 6-8 (0.4%) appears foreclosed by recent history.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
ভলিউম
$64,829শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude experiencing downtime on 12+ days in April 2026 (89.5% implied probability), driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated disruptions to claude.ai—including elevated errors and outages on April 15 (affecting login and core services for nearly three hours), April 13 (48-minute downtime), April 17 (Google Drive upload failures), and earlier incidents on April 6-10. This pattern, amid user backlash over declining large language model performance and capacity constraints during aggressive scaling, has already confirmed non-green uptime status for at least eight days through April 17, with traders anticipating further instability across the remaining 13 days despite ongoing fixes. A shift to 9-11 days (9.5%) would require marked reliability improvements, while 6-8 (0.4%) appears foreclosed by recent history.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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