Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership role in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026. He has made no public appearances since, with all reporting and official statements placing him in secure, undisclosed locations inside the country—most likely Tehran or nearby sites—due to assassination risks amid the ongoing conflict. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and other officials have repeatedly confirmed his survival and authority through indirect channels, while regime-aligned sources have issued proof-of-life accounts tied to domestic sites such as the Mashhad shrine. Persistent rumors of severe injuries or worse have circulated but remain unconfirmed, and no credible reports indicate travel or relocation abroad. Security protocols, wartime conditions, and the need to project continuity within Iran’s political system continue to shape assessments of any potential departure by a set deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$117,838 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
3%
December 31
4%
$117,838 Vol.
October 31
$119 Vol.
3%
December 31
$806 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership role in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026. He has made no public appearances since, with all reporting and official statements placing him in secure, undisclosed locations inside the country—most likely Tehran or nearby sites—due to assassination risks amid the ongoing conflict. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and other officials have repeatedly confirmed his survival and authority through indirect channels, while regime-aligned sources have issued proof-of-life accounts tied to domestic sites such as the Mashhad shrine. Persistent rumors of severe injuries or worse have circulated but remain unconfirmed, and no credible reports indicate travel or relocation abroad. Security protocols, wartime conditions, and the need to project continuity within Iran’s political system continue to shape assessments of any potential departure by a set deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$117,838শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership role in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026. He has made no public appearances since, with all reporting and official statements placing him in secure, undisclosed locations inside the country—most likely Tehran or nearby sites—due to assassination risks amid the ongoing conflict. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and other officials have repeatedly confirmed his survival and authority through indirect channels, while regime-aligned sources have issued proof-of-life accounts tied to domestic sites such as the Mashhad shrine. Persistent rumors of severe injuries or worse have circulated but remain unconfirmed, and no credible reports indicate travel or relocation abroad. Security protocols, wartime conditions, and the need to project continuity within Iran’s political system continue to shape assessments of any potential departure by a set deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$117,838শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership role in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026. He has made no public appearances since, with all reporting and official statements placing him in secure, undisclosed locations inside the country—most likely Tehran or nearby sites—due to assassination risks amid the ongoing conflict. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and other officials have repeatedly confirmed his survival and authority through indirect channels, while regime-aligned sources have issued proof-of-life accounts tied to domestic sites such as the Mashhad shrine. Persistent rumors of severe injuries or worse have circulated but remain unconfirmed, and no credible reports indicate travel or relocation abroad. Security protocols, wartime conditions, and the need to project continuity within Iran’s political system continue to shape assessments of any potential departure by a set deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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