Malian government forces, backed by Russian Africa Corps units, have retained control of Gao city and its airport despite coordinated offensives by the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) and JNIM since April 2026. Rebels seized Kidal and claimed partial influence in Gao and surrounding areas during spring and summer attacks, including ambushes on convoys near Tabrichat and Anéfis that inflicted losses on Malian and Russian personnel. However, the army has conducted ongoing counteroperations, precision strikes, and local security measures, including recent GATIA militia demonstrations near Gao. With limited time remaining before year-end and no decisive rebel breakthrough reported in the urban center, traders assess full capture as unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
17% সম্ভাবনা
$13,016 Vol.
$13,016 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
17% সম্ভাবনা
$13,016 Vol.
$13,016 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.Malian government forces, backed by Russian Africa Corps units, have retained control of Gao city and its airport despite coordinated offensives by the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) and JNIM since April 2026. Rebels seized Kidal and claimed partial influence in Gao and surrounding areas during spring and summer attacks, including ambushes on convoys near Tabrichat and Anéfis that inflicted losses on Malian and Russian personnel. However, the army has conducted ongoing counteroperations, precision strikes, and local security measures, including recent GATIA militia demonstrations near Gao. With limited time remaining before year-end and no decisive rebel breakthrough reported in the urban center, traders assess full capture as unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$13,016শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.Malian government forces, backed by Russian Africa Corps units, have retained control of Gao city and its airport despite coordinated offensives by the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) and JNIM since April 2026. Rebels seized Kidal and claimed partial influence in Gao and surrounding areas during spring and summer attacks, including ambushes on convoys near Tabrichat and Anéfis that inflicted losses on Malian and Russian personnel. However, the army has conducted ongoing counteroperations, precision strikes, and local security measures, including recent GATIA militia demonstrations near Gao. With limited time remaining before year-end and no decisive rebel breakthrough reported in the urban center, traders assess full capture as unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
ভলিউম
$13,016শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Malian government forces, backed by Russian Africa Corps units, have retained control of Gao city and its airport despite coordinated offensives by the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) and JNIM since April 2026. Rebels seized Kidal and claimed partial influence in Gao and surrounding areas during spring and summer attacks, including ambushes on convoys near Tabrichat and Anéfis that inflicted losses on Malian and Russian personnel. However, the army has conducted ongoing counteroperations, precision strikes, and local security measures, including recent GATIA militia demonstrations near Gao. With limited time remaining before year-end and no decisive rebel breakthrough reported in the urban center, traders assess full capture as unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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