The closely contested 52.5% implied probability on conviction reflects Senate political alignments and the two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 senator-judges. Duterte-aligned blocs, including senators such as Ronald dela Rosa, Bong Go, and others with documented ties to the Duterte family or shared opposition to the Marcos administration, create a structural barrier, with analysts identifying at least 11 likely acquittal votes based on voting patterns and constituency pressures. The ongoing trial, which opened July 6 after the House transmitted articles on misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and threats against President Marcos, has featured prosecution witnesses on Department of Education expenditures and related allegations through early September. Defense presentations, Senate leadership shifts, and the extended schedule into 2027 introduce variables that could sway undecided senators or prompt procedural challenges before the December 31, 2026 resolution window closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
53% সম্ভাবনা
$12,038 Vol.
$12,038 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
53% সম্ভাবনা
$12,038 Vol.
$12,038 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The closely contested 52.5% implied probability on conviction reflects Senate political alignments and the two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 senator-judges. Duterte-aligned blocs, including senators such as Ronald dela Rosa, Bong Go, and others with documented ties to the Duterte family or shared opposition to the Marcos administration, create a structural barrier, with analysts identifying at least 11 likely acquittal votes based on voting patterns and constituency pressures. The ongoing trial, which opened July 6 after the House transmitted articles on misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and threats against President Marcos, has featured prosecution witnesses on Department of Education expenditures and related allegations through early September. Defense presentations, Senate leadership shifts, and the extended schedule into 2027 introduce variables that could sway undecided senators or prompt procedural challenges before the December 31, 2026 resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$12,038শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The closely contested 52.5% implied probability on conviction reflects Senate political alignments and the two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 senator-judges. Duterte-aligned blocs, including senators such as Ronald dela Rosa, Bong Go, and others with documented ties to the Duterte family or shared opposition to the Marcos administration, create a structural barrier, with analysts identifying at least 11 likely acquittal votes based on voting patterns and constituency pressures. The ongoing trial, which opened July 6 after the House transmitted articles on misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and threats against President Marcos, has featured prosecution witnesses on Department of Education expenditures and related allegations through early September. Defense presentations, Senate leadership shifts, and the extended schedule into 2027 introduce variables that could sway undecided senators or prompt procedural challenges before the December 31, 2026 resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
ভলিউম
$12,038শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 52.5% implied probability on conviction reflects Senate political alignments and the two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 senator-judges. Duterte-aligned blocs, including senators such as Ronald dela Rosa, Bong Go, and others with documented ties to the Duterte family or shared opposition to the Marcos administration, create a structural barrier, with analysts identifying at least 11 likely acquittal votes based on voting patterns and constituency pressures. The ongoing trial, which opened July 6 after the House transmitted articles on misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and threats against President Marcos, has featured prosecution witnesses on Department of Education expenditures and related allegations through early September. Defense presentations, Senate leadership shifts, and the extended schedule into 2027 introduce variables that could sway undecided senators or prompt procedural challenges before the December 31, 2026 resolution window closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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