The closely balanced Senate composition, with roughly comparable blocs aligned to the Marcos administration and the Duterte family, drives the near-even trader assessment of conviction odds. Conviction on any article requires 16 of 24 senator-judges under the Constitution, a threshold that remains uncertain as the trial enters its third month with evidence still unfolding on confidential funds, procurement issues, and alleged threats. Absences or detentions among several senators add procedural variables, while televised proceedings allow public sentiment and witness credibility to influence votes. Upcoming testimony phases and any shifts in Senate alignments could alter the balance before a final tally.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
52% সম্ভাবনা
$12,038 Vol.
$12,038 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
52% সম্ভাবনা
$12,038 Vol.
$12,038 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The closely balanced Senate composition, with roughly comparable blocs aligned to the Marcos administration and the Duterte family, drives the near-even trader assessment of conviction odds. Conviction on any article requires 16 of 24 senator-judges under the Constitution, a threshold that remains uncertain as the trial enters its third month with evidence still unfolding on confidential funds, procurement issues, and alleged threats. Absences or detentions among several senators add procedural variables, while televised proceedings allow public sentiment and witness credibility to influence votes. Upcoming testimony phases and any shifts in Senate alignments could alter the balance before a final tally.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$12,038শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The closely balanced Senate composition, with roughly comparable blocs aligned to the Marcos administration and the Duterte family, drives the near-even trader assessment of conviction odds. Conviction on any article requires 16 of 24 senator-judges under the Constitution, a threshold that remains uncertain as the trial enters its third month with evidence still unfolding on confidential funds, procurement issues, and alleged threats. Absences or detentions among several senators add procedural variables, while televised proceedings allow public sentiment and witness credibility to influence votes. Upcoming testimony phases and any shifts in Senate alignments could alter the balance before a final tally.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
ভলিউম
$12,038শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...The closely balanced Senate composition, with roughly comparable blocs aligned to the Marcos administration and the Duterte family, drives the near-even trader assessment of conviction odds. Conviction on any article requires 16 of 24 senator-judges under the Constitution, a threshold that remains uncertain as the trial enters its third month with evidence still unfolding on confidential funds, procurement issues, and alleged threats. Absences or detentions among several senators add procedural variables, while televised proceedings allow public sentiment and witness credibility to influence votes. Upcoming testimony phases and any shifts in Senate alignments could alter the balance before a final tally.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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