Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 70.5% implied probability for impeachment before January 2029, as a House majority would enable passage of articles. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced in the 119th Congress, citing executive power abuses and conduct during the April 2026 Iran conflict, including Trump’s Truth Social statements that prompted Democratic references to the 25th Amendment. Recent polling shows a slim majority of Americans see grounds for proceedings, while trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi reflects expectations of House action even if Senate conviction remains unlikely. These midterm dynamics and prior resolutions shape the current market positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
71% সম্ভাবনা
$93,152 Vol.
$93,152 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
71% সম্ভাবনা
$93,152 Vol.
$93,152 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 70.5% implied probability for impeachment before January 2029, as a House majority would enable passage of articles. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced in the 119th Congress, citing executive power abuses and conduct during the April 2026 Iran conflict, including Trump’s Truth Social statements that prompted Democratic references to the 25th Amendment. Recent polling shows a slim majority of Americans see grounds for proceedings, while trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi reflects expectations of House action even if Senate conviction remains unlikely. These midterm dynamics and prior resolutions shape the current market positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$93,152শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2029মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 70.5% implied probability for impeachment before January 2029, as a House majority would enable passage of articles. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced in the 119th Congress, citing executive power abuses and conduct during the April 2026 Iran conflict, including Trump’s Truth Social statements that prompted Democratic references to the 25th Amendment. Recent polling shows a slim majority of Americans see grounds for proceedings, while trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi reflects expectations of House action even if Senate conviction remains unlikely. These midterm dynamics and prior resolutions shape the current market positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ভলিউম
$93,152শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2029মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 70.5% implied probability for impeachment before January 2029, as a House majority would enable passage of articles. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced in the 119th Congress, citing executive power abuses and conduct during the April 2026 Iran conflict, including Trump’s Truth Social statements that prompted Democratic references to the 25th Amendment. Recent polling shows a slim majority of Americans see grounds for proceedings, while trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi reflects expectations of House action even if Senate conviction remains unlikely. These midterm dynamics and prior resolutions shape the current market positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা