Democrats’ strong positioning ahead of the November 2026 midterms represents the dominant factor behind the 70.5% implied probability that Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Prediction markets currently assign Democrats an elevated chance of securing House control, a prerequisite for advancing articles given Republican resistance in the current chamber. Multiple impeachment resolutions have already been introduced since the start of the term, with renewed calls from dozens of Democratic lawmakers following Trump’s April 2026 statements on Iran. Historical patterns show that unified opposition-party control of the House frequently leads to formal proceedings, though Senate conviction remains a separate hurdle. Scheduled midterm outcomes and any subsequent committee actions will directly influence resolution timing within the market window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
71% সম্ভাবনা
$93,152 Vol.
$93,152 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
71% সম্ভাবনা
$93,152 Vol.
$93,152 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ strong positioning ahead of the November 2026 midterms represents the dominant factor behind the 70.5% implied probability that Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Prediction markets currently assign Democrats an elevated chance of securing House control, a prerequisite for advancing articles given Republican resistance in the current chamber. Multiple impeachment resolutions have already been introduced since the start of the term, with renewed calls from dozens of Democratic lawmakers following Trump’s April 2026 statements on Iran. Historical patterns show that unified opposition-party control of the House frequently leads to formal proceedings, though Senate conviction remains a separate hurdle. Scheduled midterm outcomes and any subsequent committee actions will directly influence resolution timing within the market window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$93,152শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2029মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ strong positioning ahead of the November 2026 midterms represents the dominant factor behind the 70.5% implied probability that Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Prediction markets currently assign Democrats an elevated chance of securing House control, a prerequisite for advancing articles given Republican resistance in the current chamber. Multiple impeachment resolutions have already been introduced since the start of the term, with renewed calls from dozens of Democratic lawmakers following Trump’s April 2026 statements on Iran. Historical patterns show that unified opposition-party control of the House frequently leads to formal proceedings, though Senate conviction remains a separate hurdle. Scheduled midterm outcomes and any subsequent committee actions will directly influence resolution timing within the market window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ভলিউম
$93,152শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2029মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats’ strong positioning ahead of the November 2026 midterms represents the dominant factor behind the 70.5% implied probability that Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Prediction markets currently assign Democrats an elevated chance of securing House control, a prerequisite for advancing articles given Republican resistance in the current chamber. Multiple impeachment resolutions have already been introduced since the start of the term, with renewed calls from dozens of Democratic lawmakers following Trump’s April 2026 statements on Iran. Historical patterns show that unified opposition-party control of the House frequently leads to formal proceedings, though Senate conviction remains a separate hurdle. Scheduled midterm outcomes and any subsequent committee actions will directly influence resolution timing within the market window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা