Mercedes' George Russell and rookie sensation Kimi Antonelli dominate trader consensus for the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship, reflecting the team's constructors' lead after three Grands Prix. Antonelli surged to the points lead with 72 following back-to-back victories in China—his maiden F1 win—and Japan, where he claimed pole and controlled from the front, outpacing teammate Russell, who won the Australian GP opener for a Mercedes 1-2. Russell's 43.5% implied probability edges Antonelli's 30.4% due to his experience handling title pressure, consistency avoiding destructors, and maturity amid intensifying intra-team rivalry, as noted by Martin Brundle likening Antonelli to peak Hamilton. Laggards like Verstappen trail amid Red Bull's struggles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGeorge Russell 44%
Kimi Antonelli 30.4%
Charles Leclerc 6.5%
Oscar Piastri 5.1%
$106,242,345 Vol.
$106,242,345 Vol.
George Russell
44%
Kimi Antonelli
30%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Lewis Hamilton
3%
Lando Norris
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Nico Hülkenberg
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
George Russell 44%
Kimi Antonelli 30.4%
Charles Leclerc 6.5%
Oscar Piastri 5.1%
$106,242,345 Vol.
$106,242,345 Vol.
George Russell
44%
Kimi Antonelli
30%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Lewis Hamilton
3%
Lando Norris
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Nico Hülkenberg
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' George Russell and rookie sensation Kimi Antonelli dominate trader consensus for the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship, reflecting the team's constructors' lead after three Grands Prix. Antonelli surged to the points lead with 72 following back-to-back victories in China—his maiden F1 win—and Japan, where he claimed pole and controlled from the front, outpacing teammate Russell, who won the Australian GP opener for a Mercedes 1-2. Russell's 43.5% implied probability edges Antonelli's 30.4% due to his experience handling title pressure, consistency avoiding destructors, and maturity amid intensifying intra-team rivalry, as noted by Martin Brundle likening Antonelli to peak Hamilton. Laggards like Verstappen trail amid Red Bull's struggles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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