Mercedes holds a commanding 135-90 constructors' points lead over Ferrari after strong starts in the 2026 season's opening Grands Prix, including wins for George Russell in Australia and Kimi Antonelli in China, fueling trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability for the title. Antonelli and Russell top the drivers' standings with 72 and 63 points, respectively, showcasing Mercedes' superior adaptation to the new chassis and power unit regulations that reshaped the grid. Ferrari remains competitive via Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's podiums but trails due to inconsistent qualifying pace, while McLaren's 46 points reflect solid but gap-closing third-place form. Red Bull's struggles, with just 16 points, underscore reliability issues, keeping their chances slim at 1.9%. Early dominance positions Mercedes as the clear favorite, though 21 remaining races leave room for mechanical failures or rival upgrades to shift sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMercedes 77%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.2%
Red Bull Racing 1.9%
$13,725,995 Vol.
$13,725,995 Vol.
6. Dez. 2026
Mercedes
77%
Ferrari
12%
McLaren
7%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Williams
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.2%
Red Bull Racing 1.9%
$13,725,995 Vol.
$13,725,995 Vol.
6. Dez. 2026
Mercedes
$548,056 Vol.
77%
Ferrari
$280,620 Vol.
12%
McLaren
$1,332,648 Vol.
7%
Red Bull Racing
$483,093 Vol.
2%
Aston Martin
$1,615,121 Vol.
1%
Audi
$1,541,911 Vol.
1%
Williams
$1,824,357 Vol.
<1%
Cadillac
$1,279,230 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$1,506,199 Vol.
<1%
Haas
$1,648,527 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$1,666,409 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 135-90 constructors' points lead over Ferrari after strong starts in the 2026 season's opening Grands Prix, including wins for George Russell in Australia and Kimi Antonelli in China, fueling trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability for the title. Antonelli and Russell top the drivers' standings with 72 and 63 points, respectively, showcasing Mercedes' superior adaptation to the new chassis and power unit regulations that reshaped the grid. Ferrari remains competitive via Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's podiums but trails due to inconsistent qualifying pace, while McLaren's 46 points reflect solid but gap-closing third-place form. Red Bull's struggles, with just 16 points, underscore reliability issues, keeping their chances slim at 1.9%. Early dominance positions Mercedes as the clear favorite, though 21 remaining races leave room for mechanical failures or rival upgrades to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volumen
$13,725,995Enddatum
6. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 135-90 constructors' points lead over Ferrari after strong starts in the 2026 season's opening Grands Prix, including wins for George Russell in Australia and Kimi Antonelli in China, fueling trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability for the title. Antonelli and Russell top the drivers' standings with 72 and 63 points, respectively, showcasing Mercedes' superior adaptation to the new chassis and power unit regulations that reshaped the grid. Ferrari remains competitive via Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's podiums but trails due to inconsistent qualifying pace, while McLaren's 46 points reflect solid but gap-closing third-place form. Red Bull's struggles, with just 16 points, underscore reliability issues, keeping their chances slim at 1.9%. Early dominance positions Mercedes as the clear favorite, though 21 remaining races leave room for mechanical failures or rival upgrades to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volumen
$13,725,995Enddatum
6. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 135-90 constructors' points lead over Ferrari after strong starts in the 2026 season's opening Grands Prix, including wins for George Russell in Australia and Kimi Antonelli in China, fueling trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability for the title. Antonelli and Russell top the drivers' standings with 72 and 63 points, respectively, showcasing Mercedes' superior adaptation to the new chassis and power unit regulations that reshaped the grid. Ferrari remains competitive via Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's podiums but trails due to inconsistent qualifying pace, while McLaren's 46 points reflect solid but gap-closing third-place form. Red Bull's struggles, with just 16 points, underscore reliability issues, keeping their chances slim at 1.9%. Early dominance positions Mercedes as the clear favorite, though 21 remaining races leave room for mechanical failures or rival upgrades to shift sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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