Kimi Antonelli's commanding points lead and multiple victories this season underpin the 61.6% implied probability for the 2026 Drivers' Championship, as the Mercedes driver has secured five wins, several poles, and consistent podiums in the opening races. Mercedes' strong overall package has enabled him to outpace teammate George Russell, who sits third in the standings at 17.5% implied odds, while recent mechanical retirements have not erased Antonelli's buffer. Lewis Hamilton's 12.7% probability reflects his resurgence at Ferrari, including a breakthrough victory in Barcelona that elevated him to second in the championship. Lower probabilities for Charles Leclerc, Max Verstappen, and others align with their respective deficits in results and team competitiveness through mid-June.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKimi Antonelli 61.6%
George Russell 18%
Lewis Hamilton 12.7%
Charles Leclerc 2.3%
$174,106,488 Vol.
$174,106,488 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
62%
George Russell
18%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Max Verstappen
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 61.6%
George Russell 18%
Lewis Hamilton 12.7%
Charles Leclerc 2.3%
$174,106,488 Vol.
$174,106,488 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
62%
George Russell
18%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Max Verstappen
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli's commanding points lead and multiple victories this season underpin the 61.6% implied probability for the 2026 Drivers' Championship, as the Mercedes driver has secured five wins, several poles, and consistent podiums in the opening races. Mercedes' strong overall package has enabled him to outpace teammate George Russell, who sits third in the standings at 17.5% implied odds, while recent mechanical retirements have not erased Antonelli's buffer. Lewis Hamilton's 12.7% probability reflects his resurgence at Ferrari, including a breakthrough victory in Barcelona that elevated him to second in the championship. Lower probabilities for Charles Leclerc, Max Verstappen, and others align with their respective deficits in results and team competitiveness through mid-June.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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