Kimi Antonelli’s commanding points lead in the 2026 Drivers’ Championship, built on five consecutive victories and multiple poles since the season opener, underpins his 60.5% implied probability among traders. The Italian teenager, in his second Mercedes season, has capitalized on the team’s strong adaptation to the new power-unit and aerodynamic regulations, converting strong qualifying pace into race wins across varied circuits including China, Japan, Canada, and Monaco. George Russell’s 18.0% reflects his early-season pole-to-flag win in Australia but also recent reliability setbacks and tyre-warm-up difficulties that have ceded momentum to his teammate. Lewis Hamilton’s 12.4% stems from his consistent Ferrari results and climb into the top three despite trailing by more than 40 points. Lower probabilities for Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc, and others align with their larger deficits and fewer race wins to date, though the long remaining calendar leaves room for shifts if Mercedes form dips.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKimi Antonelli 60.5%
George Russell 18%
Lewis Hamilton 12.4%
Charles Leclerc 2.4%
$173,991,478 Vol.
$173,991,478 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
61%
George Russell
18%
Lewis Hamilton
12%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Max Verstappen
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 60.5%
George Russell 18%
Lewis Hamilton 12.4%
Charles Leclerc 2.4%
$173,991,478 Vol.
$173,991,478 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
61%
George Russell
18%
Lewis Hamilton
12%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Max Verstappen
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli’s commanding points lead in the 2026 Drivers’ Championship, built on five consecutive victories and multiple poles since the season opener, underpins his 60.5% implied probability among traders. The Italian teenager, in his second Mercedes season, has capitalized on the team’s strong adaptation to the new power-unit and aerodynamic regulations, converting strong qualifying pace into race wins across varied circuits including China, Japan, Canada, and Monaco. George Russell’s 18.0% reflects his early-season pole-to-flag win in Australia but also recent reliability setbacks and tyre-warm-up difficulties that have ceded momentum to his teammate. Lewis Hamilton’s 12.4% stems from his consistent Ferrari results and climb into the top three despite trailing by more than 40 points. Lower probabilities for Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc, and others align with their larger deficits and fewer race wins to date, though the long remaining calendar leaves room for shifts if Mercedes form dips.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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