Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above the key threshold on March 24 at around 55%, driven primarily by robust services revenue growth offsetting softening iPhone demand amid China headwinds. AAPL shares recently surged 4% post-Q1 earnings beat, with EPS of $2.18 topping estimates and $25B stock buyback extension signaling board confidence, trading near $226 versus the strike amid Nasdaq strength. Key risks include ongoing DOJ antitrust scrutiny and tariff threats; upside catalysts feature Apple Intelligence AI rollout and March Vision Pro updates. Watch Fed's March 19 FOMC for rate signals impacting tech valuations, with historical post-Fed rallies lifting AAPL 2-3%. Market-implied odds reflect capital betting on sustained 10% YTD gains.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$240
98%
$245
92%
250 $
64%
$255
26%
260 $
11%
$192 Vol.
$240
98%
$245
92%
250 $
64%
$255
26%
260 $
11%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above the key threshold on March 24 at around 55%, driven primarily by robust services revenue growth offsetting softening iPhone demand amid China headwinds. AAPL shares recently surged 4% post-Q1 earnings beat, with EPS of $2.18 topping estimates and $25B stock buyback extension signaling board confidence, trading near $226 versus the strike amid Nasdaq strength. Key risks include ongoing DOJ antitrust scrutiny and tariff threats; upside catalysts feature Apple Intelligence AI rollout and March Vision Pro updates. Watch Fed's March 19 FOMC for rate signals impacting tech valuations, with historical post-Fed rallies lifting AAPL 2-3%. Market-implied odds reflect capital betting on sustained 10% YTD gains.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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