Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 25, driven primarily by momentum from February's blowout Q1 earnings—$2.18 EPS beating estimates—and surging AI iPhone hype, pushing shares from $220 to $228 intraday highs. Robust services revenue at $25B underscores pricing power, offsetting China weakness. Yet, elevated 29x forward P/E and tariff risks cap upside. Watch March 20 FOMC for rate signals supporting tech multiples, plus March 27 CPI data influencing Fed path; $230 acts as key resistance, with options gamma potentially amplifying moves. Historical March gains average 2% for AAPL, aligning with current market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$240
95%
245 $
98%
$250
79%
$255
21%
260 $
6%
$1,083 Vol.
$240
95%
245 $
98%
$250
79%
$255
21%
260 $
6%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 25, driven primarily by momentum from February's blowout Q1 earnings—$2.18 EPS beating estimates—and surging AI iPhone hype, pushing shares from $220 to $228 intraday highs. Robust services revenue at $25B underscores pricing power, offsetting China weakness. Yet, elevated 29x forward P/E and tariff risks cap upside. Watch March 20 FOMC for rate signals supporting tech multiples, plus March 27 CPI data influencing Fed path; $230 acts as key resistance, with options gamma potentially amplifying moves. Historical March gains average 2% for AAPL, aligning with current market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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