Javier Milei leads the 2027 Argentine presidential race in trader consensus, reflecting his position as incumbent with La Libertad Avanza consistently topping first-round polling averages near 30-33% and holding advantages in most runoff simulations against Axel Kicillof. Kicillof’s second-place standing aligns with his emergence as the primary Peronist contender and opposition leader in surveys, though the space remains fragmented among figures like Sergio Massa and Myriam Bregman. Recent mid-2026 polls show Milei’s edge narrowing in head-to-head matchups amid mixed economic signals, including modest inflation reacceleration and revised growth forecasts, alongside stable but polarized approval ratings near 40%. Legislative reform efforts and coalition dynamics ahead of the October 2027 vote continue to shape positioning, with low probabilities for other listed candidates consistent with their marginal polling support.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGewinner der argentinischen Präsidentschaftswahl
Javier Milei 51%
Axel Kicillof 39%
Sergio Massa 6.8%
Myriam Bregman 3.4%
$616,473 Vol.
$616,473 Vol.

Javier Milei
51%

Axel Kicillof
39%

Sergio Massa
7%

Myriam Bregman
3%

Dante Gebel
2%

Juan Grabois
1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Victoria Villarruel
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%
Javier Milei 51%
Axel Kicillof 39%
Sergio Massa 6.8%
Myriam Bregman 3.4%
$616,473 Vol.
$616,473 Vol.

Javier Milei
51%

Axel Kicillof
39%

Sergio Massa
7%

Myriam Bregman
3%

Dante Gebel
2%

Juan Grabois
1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Victoria Villarruel
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Markt eröffnet: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Javier Milei leads the 2027 Argentine presidential race in trader consensus, reflecting his position as incumbent with La Libertad Avanza consistently topping first-round polling averages near 30-33% and holding advantages in most runoff simulations against Axel Kicillof. Kicillof’s second-place standing aligns with his emergence as the primary Peronist contender and opposition leader in surveys, though the space remains fragmented among figures like Sergio Massa and Myriam Bregman. Recent mid-2026 polls show Milei’s edge narrowing in head-to-head matchups amid mixed economic signals, including modest inflation reacceleration and revised growth forecasts, alongside stable but polarized approval ratings near 40%. Legislative reform efforts and coalition dynamics ahead of the October 2027 vote continue to shape positioning, with low probabilities for other listed candidates consistent with their marginal polling support.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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