Skip to main content
Market icon
Wahlen·Bulgarien

Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Bulgarien

Market icon
Wahlen·Bulgarien

Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Bulgarien

PB 98.8%

GERB–SDS <1%

PP–DB <1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$206,552 Vol.

PB 98.8%

GERB–SDS <1%

PP–DB <1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$206,552 Vol.

Wird Progressive Bulgarien (PB) die meisten Sitze bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 gewinnen? icon

PB

$75,647 Vol.

99%

Wird GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) die meisten Sitze bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 gewinnen? icon

GERB–SDS

$30,376 Vol.

1%

Wird Wir setzen den Wandel fort – Demokratisches Bulgarien (PP–DB) die meisten Sitze bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 gewinnen? icon

PP–DB

$29,458 Vol.

1%

Wird die Bewegung für Rechte und Freiheiten (DPS) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

DPS

$4,252 Vol.

<1%

Wird Es gibt so ein Volk (ITN) die meisten Sitze bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 gewinnen? icon

ITN

$11,889 Vol.

<1%

Wird Velichie die meisten Sitze bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 gewinnen? icon

Velichie

$15,738 Vol.

<1%

Wird die Allianz für Rechte und Freiheiten (APS) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

APS

$11,608 Vol.

<1%

Wird die BSP – Vereinigte Linke die meisten Sitze bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 gewinnen? icon

BSP – Vereinigte Linke

$7,898 Vol.

<1%

Wird Moral, Einheit, Ehre (MECH) bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

MECH

$10,144 Vol.

<1%

Wird Vazrazhdane die meisten Sitze bei der bulgarischen Parlamentswahl 2026 gewinnen? icon

Vazrazhdane

$9,543 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's proportional representation snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent double-digit poll leads amid voter frustration with endemic corruption and the eighth vote since 2021. Recent Market Links (April 16) and CAM (April 3-14) surveys show PB at 30.8-32.1%, projecting 90+ seats versus GERB–SDS at 18-19%, fueled by Radev's anti-graft platform, strong rural support, and top campaign donations exceeding €650,000. Intensified anti-vote-buying raids have bolstered credibility. Despite the dominance, low turnout, polling errors, or late scandals could narrow the gap in coalition-heavy negotiations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$206,552
Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's proportional representation snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent double-digit poll leads amid voter frustration with endemic corruption and the eighth vote since 2021. Recent Market Links (April 16) and CAM (April 3-14) surveys show PB at 30.8-32.1%, projecting 90+ seats versus GERB–SDS at 18-19%, fueled by Radev's anti-graft platform, strong rural support, and top campaign donations exceeding €650,000. Intensified anti-vote-buying raids have bolstered credibility. Despite the dominance, low turnout, polling errors, or late scandals could narrow the gap in coalition-heavy negotiations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$206,552
Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Bulgarien" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „PB" mit 99%, gefolgt von „GERB–SDS" mit 1%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Bulgarien" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $206.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 13, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Bulgarien" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Bulgarien" ist „PB" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „GERB–SDS" mit 1%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Bulgarien" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.