Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAm oder vor dem 16. April 80%
17. April 8.1%
Nicht bis zum 30. April veröffentlicht 1.9%
20. April 1.3%
NEU
$105,926 Vol.
NEU
$105,926 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
Am oder vor dem 16. April
80%
17. April
8%
18. April
<1%
19. April
<1%
20. April
1%
21. April
1%
22. April
<1%
23. April
1%
24. April
<1%
25. April
<1%
26. April
<1%
27. April
<1%
28. April
<1%
29. April
<1%
30. April
<1%
Nicht bis zum 30. April veröffentlicht
2%
Am oder vor dem 16. April 80%
17. April 8.1%
Nicht bis zum 30. April veröffentlicht 1.9%
20. April 1.3%
NEU
$105,926 Vol.
NEU
$105,926 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
Am oder vor dem 16. April
$50,331 Vol.
80%
17. April
$9,298 Vol.
8%
18. April
$5,394 Vol.
<1%
19. April
$4,338 Vol.
<1%
20. April
$4,392 Vol.
1%
21. April
$3,567 Vol.
1%
22. April
$2,976 Vol.
<1%
23. April
$2,736 Vol.
1%
24. April
$2,857 Vol.
<1%
25. April
$3,122 Vol.
<1%
26. April
$3,051 Vol.
<1%
27. April
$3,037 Vol.
<1%
28. April
$2,072 Vol.
<1%
29. April
$1,922 Vol.
<1%
30. April
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
Nicht bis zum 30. April veröffentlicht
$6,153 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Volumen
$105,926Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$105,926Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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