Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for "No" on a critical Discord incident by April 30, 2026, as Discord's official status page reported no red-classified disruptions through the deadline, with April 29 and 30 incident-free. The platform's most recent event—a connection delays outage on April 28 affecting large guilds and peaking at thousands of user reports—resolved in under two hours without escalating to Critical severity, distinguishing it from Major (orange) outages per market rules. Earlier March disruptions did not recur, underscoring improved platform stability amid ongoing monitoring. While post-deadline reclassifications are theoretically possible under resolution criteria, traders see negligible risk given Discord's timely reporting practices and lack of credible escalation indicators.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$21,530 Vol.
$21,530 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
Ja
$21,530 Vol.
$21,530 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for "No" on a critical Discord incident by April 30, 2026, as Discord's official status page reported no red-classified disruptions through the deadline, with April 29 and 30 incident-free. The platform's most recent event—a connection delays outage on April 28 affecting large guilds and peaking at thousands of user reports—resolved in under two hours without escalating to Critical severity, distinguishing it from Major (orange) outages per market rules. Earlier March disruptions did not recur, underscoring improved platform stability amid ongoing monitoring. While post-deadline reclassifications are theoretically possible under resolution criteria, traders see negligible risk given Discord's timely reporting practices and lack of credible escalation indicators.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volumen
$21,530Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for "No" on a critical Discord incident by April 30, 2026, as Discord's official status page reported no red-classified disruptions through the deadline, with April 29 and 30 incident-free. The platform's most recent event—a connection delays outage on April 28 affecting large guilds and peaking at thousands of user reports—resolved in under two hours without escalating to Critical severity, distinguishing it from Major (orange) outages per market rules. Earlier March disruptions did not recur, underscoring improved platform stability amid ongoing monitoring. While post-deadline reclassifications are theoretically possible under resolution criteria, traders see negligible risk given Discord's timely reporting practices and lack of credible escalation indicators.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Volumen
$21,530Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for "No" on a critical Discord incident by April 30, 2026, as Discord's official status page reported no red-classified disruptions through the deadline, with April 29 and 30 incident-free. The platform's most recent event—a connection delays outage on April 28 affecting large guilds and peaking at thousands of user reports—resolved in under two hours without escalating to Critical severity, distinguishing it from Major (orange) outages per market rules. Earlier March disruptions did not recur, underscoring improved platform stability amid ongoing monitoring. While post-deadline reclassifications are theoretically possible under resolution criteria, traders see negligible risk given Discord's timely reporting practices and lack of credible escalation indicators.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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