The tightly bunched probabilities around 45-50% for multiple players in the Open de France first-round leader market reflect the inherent unpredictability of identifying a single pace-setter in a large DP World Tour field. Golfers such as Adrian Otaegui, Andres Gallegos, Albin Bergstroem, and Ashun Wu sit at the top of trader consensus because any competitor can post a low opening round when course conditions, pin placements, and weather align favorably. Recent form, driving accuracy, and short-game trends provide some differentiation, yet the single-round format compresses advantages and keeps implied probabilities clustered across dozens of entrants. This dynamic underscores why no player commands a decisive edge entering the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAdrian Otaegui 100%
Andres Gallegos 100%
Albin Bergstroem 97%
Ashun Wu 97%
Adrian Otaegui
100%
Andres Gallegos
100%
Albin Bergstroem
97%
Ashun Wu
97%
Adrian Meronk
95%
Adrien Saddier
95%
Andreas Halvorsen
95%
Angel Hidalgo
95%
Antoine Rozner
95%
Benjamin Follett-Smith
95%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
95%
Cameron Adam
95%
Adria Arnaus
94%
Benjamin Hebert
94%
Callum Tarren
94%
Calum Hill
94%
Angel Ayora
92%
Cameron Smith
92%
Alexander Levy
91%
Bud Cauley
91%
Ben Schmidt
90%
Brandon Stone
90%
Clement Charmasson
90%
Connor McKinney
90%
Andy Sullivan
88%
Cohen Trolio
88%
Martin Couvra
88%
Nathan Kimsey
88%
Anthony Quayle
83%
Daniel van Tonder
81%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
81%
Joel Girrbach
80%
Joost Luiten
78%
Matteo Manassero
78%
Ewen Ferguson
76%
Francesco Laporta
76%
Daniel Bradbury
72%
Johannes Veerman
72%
Filippo Celli
69%
Jeff Winther
67%
Joseph Dean
67%
Freddy Schott
64%
Guido Migliozzi
64%
Kazuma Kobori
64%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
64%
Marcus Kinhult
64%
Matthieu Pavon
64%
Daniel Young
63%
Kristoffer Reitan
63%
Manuel Elvira
62%
Michael Kim
62%
Julien Sale
61%
Matthew Fitzpatrick
61%
Daniel Rodrigues
60%
Frederic Lacroix
60%
Ludvig Aaberg
60%
Marcus Armitage
60%
Darius van Driel
20%
Daniel Gavins
-
David Law
-
David Micheluzzi
-
David Ravetto
-
Dylan Naidoo
-
Eddie Pepperell
-
Edoardo Molinari
-
Elvis Smylie
-
Euan Walker
-
Fabrizio Zanotti
-
Felix Mory
-
Frankie Capan
-
Frederico Biondi
-
Grant Forrest
-
Gregorio De Leo
-
Hennie Du Plessis
-
Hugo Townsend
-
Ignacio Elvira
-
Ivan Cantero
-
Jack Buchanan
-
Jack Senior
-
Jack Yule
-
James Morrison
-
Jason Scrivener
-
Jens Dantorp
-
Jeong-Weon Ko
-
Jeremy Paul
-
Jordan Gumberg
-
Joshua Berry
-
Julien Guerrier
-
Jung-Hwan Lee
-
Kota Kaneko
-
Marcel Siem
-
Mathieu Decottignies-Lafon
-
Matthew Baldwin
-
Maxime Legros
-
Maximilian Kieffer
-
Maximilian Steinlechner
-
Michael Mjaaseth
-
Mike Toorop
-
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
-
Niklas Lemke
-
Adrian Otaegui 100%
Andres Gallegos 100%
Albin Bergstroem 97%
Ashun Wu 97%
Adrian Otaegui
100%
Andres Gallegos
100%
Albin Bergstroem
97%
Ashun Wu
97%
Adrian Meronk
95%
Adrien Saddier
95%
Andreas Halvorsen
95%
Angel Hidalgo
95%
Antoine Rozner
95%
Benjamin Follett-Smith
95%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
95%
Cameron Adam
95%
Adria Arnaus
94%
Benjamin Hebert
94%
Callum Tarren
94%
Calum Hill
94%
Angel Ayora
92%
Cameron Smith
92%
Alexander Levy
91%
Bud Cauley
91%
Ben Schmidt
90%
Brandon Stone
90%
Clement Charmasson
90%
Connor McKinney
90%
Andy Sullivan
88%
Cohen Trolio
88%
Martin Couvra
88%
Nathan Kimsey
88%
Anthony Quayle
83%
Daniel van Tonder
81%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
81%
Joel Girrbach
80%
Joost Luiten
78%
Matteo Manassero
78%
Ewen Ferguson
76%
Francesco Laporta
76%
Daniel Bradbury
72%
Johannes Veerman
72%
Filippo Celli
69%
Jeff Winther
67%
Joseph Dean
67%
Freddy Schott
64%
Guido Migliozzi
64%
Kazuma Kobori
64%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
64%
Marcus Kinhult
64%
Matthieu Pavon
64%
Daniel Young
63%
Kristoffer Reitan
63%
Manuel Elvira
62%
Michael Kim
62%
Julien Sale
61%
Matthew Fitzpatrick
61%
Daniel Rodrigues
60%
Frederic Lacroix
60%
Ludvig Aaberg
60%
Marcus Armitage
60%
Darius van Driel
20%
Daniel Gavins
-
David Law
-
David Micheluzzi
-
David Ravetto
-
Dylan Naidoo
-
Eddie Pepperell
-
Edoardo Molinari
-
Elvis Smylie
-
Euan Walker
-
Fabrizio Zanotti
-
Felix Mory
-
Frankie Capan
-
Frederico Biondi
-
Grant Forrest
-
Gregorio De Leo
-
Hennie Du Plessis
-
Hugo Townsend
-
Ignacio Elvira
-
Ivan Cantero
-
Jack Buchanan
-
Jack Senior
-
Jack Yule
-
James Morrison
-
Jason Scrivener
-
Jens Dantorp
-
Jeong-Weon Ko
-
Jeremy Paul
-
Jordan Gumberg
-
Joshua Berry
-
Julien Guerrier
-
Jung-Hwan Lee
-
Kota Kaneko
-
Marcel Siem
-
Mathieu Decottignies-Lafon
-
Matthew Baldwin
-
Maxime Legros
-
Maximilian Kieffer
-
Maximilian Steinlechner
-
Michael Mjaaseth
-
Mike Toorop
-
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
-
Niklas Lemke
-
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.europeantour.com/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.europeantour.com/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched probabilities around 45-50% for multiple players in the Open de France first-round leader market reflect the inherent unpredictability of identifying a single pace-setter in a large DP World Tour field. Golfers such as Adrian Otaegui, Andres Gallegos, Albin Bergstroem, and Ashun Wu sit at the top of trader consensus because any competitor can post a low opening round when course conditions, pin placements, and weather align favorably. Recent form, driving accuracy, and short-game trends provide some differentiation, yet the single-round format compresses advantages and keeps implied probabilities clustered across dozens of entrants. This dynamic underscores why no player commands a decisive edge entering the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen