Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year after his stunning recovery from sixth on lap one to victory at the Japanese Grand Prix, highlighted by a gutsy overtake on Max Verstappen at Suzuka and back-to-back wins including China, showcasing precocious racecraft in Mercedes' dominant new 2026 car amid regs spurring 167% more overtakes grid-wide. Verstappen sits close at 32.5% on his reputation for audacious defending and passing despite Q2 struggles there, while Lewis Hamilton's 25.5% reflects veteran wheel-to-wheel battles like his duel with Lando Norris and narrow escape with Charles Leclerc. Sergio Perez's aggressive China Sprint move into teammate Valtteri Bottas elevates him to 24.8%, underscoring early-season chaos favoring bold actions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKimi Antonelli 34%
Max Verstappen 25%
Nico Hulkenberg 22.2%
Charles Leclerc 18%
Kimi Antonelli
42%
Max Verstappen
33%
Nico Hulkenberg
22%
Charles Leclerc
18%
Valtteri Bottas
17%
George Russell
10%
Lewis Hamilton
26%
Oscar Piastri
4%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Lando Norris
8%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
15%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Oliver Bearman
15%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Liam Lawson
10%
Esteban Ocon
22%
Sergio Perez
24%
Lance Stroll
22%
Kimi Antonelli 34%
Max Verstappen 25%
Nico Hulkenberg 22.2%
Charles Leclerc 18%
Kimi Antonelli
42%
Max Verstappen
33%
Nico Hulkenberg
22%
Charles Leclerc
18%
Valtteri Bottas
17%
George Russell
10%
Lewis Hamilton
26%
Oscar Piastri
4%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Lando Norris
8%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
15%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Oliver Bearman
15%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Liam Lawson
10%
Esteban Ocon
22%
Sergio Perez
24%
Lance Stroll
22%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year after his stunning recovery from sixth on lap one to victory at the Japanese Grand Prix, highlighted by a gutsy overtake on Max Verstappen at Suzuka and back-to-back wins including China, showcasing precocious racecraft in Mercedes' dominant new 2026 car amid regs spurring 167% more overtakes grid-wide. Verstappen sits close at 32.5% on his reputation for audacious defending and passing despite Q2 struggles there, while Lewis Hamilton's 25.5% reflects veteran wheel-to-wheel battles like his duel with Lando Norris and narrow escape with Charles Leclerc. Sergio Perez's aggressive China Sprint move into teammate Valtteri Bottas elevates him to 24.8%, underscoring early-season chaos favoring bold actions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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