Rockstar Games' official November 19, 2026 release date for Grand Theft Auto VI on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S drives the overwhelming 96.9% market-implied probability for "No." Following an earlier shift from May 2026, the studio cited the need for additional polish on the Vice City-set open-world title, aligning with its history of precise or further-delayed launches rather than early drops. With the current date in late July 2026, this timeline leaves little room for a pre-November arrival, reinforcing trader consensus backed by verified Rockstar statements. A realistic upset would require an unprecedented acceleration or surprise announcement, which remains improbable given the emphasis on quality and the short window remaining.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGTA VI released before November 2026?
GTA VI released before November 2026?
$34,774 Vol.
$34,774 Vol.
31. Okt. 2026
$34,774 Vol.
$34,774 Vol.
31. Okt. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games' official November 19, 2026 release date for Grand Theft Auto VI on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S drives the overwhelming 96.9% market-implied probability for "No." Following an earlier shift from May 2026, the studio cited the need for additional polish on the Vice City-set open-world title, aligning with its history of precise or further-delayed launches rather than early drops. With the current date in late July 2026, this timeline leaves little room for a pre-November arrival, reinforcing trader consensus backed by verified Rockstar statements. A realistic upset would require an unprecedented acceleration or surprise announcement, which remains improbable given the emphasis on quality and the short window remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volumen
$34,774Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games' official November 19, 2026 release date for Grand Theft Auto VI on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S drives the overwhelming 96.9% market-implied probability for "No." Following an earlier shift from May 2026, the studio cited the need for additional polish on the Vice City-set open-world title, aligning with its history of precise or further-delayed launches rather than early drops. With the current date in late July 2026, this timeline leaves little room for a pre-November arrival, reinforcing trader consensus backed by verified Rockstar statements. A realistic upset would require an unprecedented acceleration or surprise announcement, which remains improbable given the emphasis on quality and the short window remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Volumen
$34,774Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rockstar Games' official November 19, 2026 release date for Grand Theft Auto VI on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S drives the overwhelming 96.9% market-implied probability for "No." Following an earlier shift from May 2026, the studio cited the need for additional polish on the Vice City-set open-world title, aligning with its history of precise or further-delayed launches rather than early drops. With the current date in late July 2026, this timeline leaves little room for a pre-November arrival, reinforcing trader consensus backed by verified Rockstar statements. A realistic upset would require an unprecedented acceleration or surprise announcement, which remains improbable given the emphasis on quality and the short window remaining.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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