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icon for Wird CMI ein Millennium-Preis-Problem bis zum ___ für gelöst erklären?

Wird CMI ein Millennium-Preis-Problem bis zum ___ für gelöst erklären?

icon for Wird CMI ein Millennium-Preis-Problem bis zum ___ für gelöst erklären?

Wird CMI ein Millennium-Preis-Problem bis zum ___ für gelöst erklären?

$332,373 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$332,373 Vol.

Polymarket

31. Dezember 2026

$232,267 Vol.

4%

31. Dezember 2027

$67,912 Vol.

16%

31. Dezember 2028

$32,193 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.Recent AI-driven claims have shifted trader focus on CMI's Millennium Prize timeline, with OpenAI's September 8 announcement of a Navier-Stokes singularity solution—produced via thousands of coordinated agents and Lean-verified—sparking immediate debate alongside concurrent human-AI work from Buckmaster and Alpöge. CMI's September 11 statement welcomed the developments but emphasized its deliberate process: qualified publication, a mandatory two-year scrutiny window for community acceptance, and formal board review before any prize declaration or official resolution. This high bar, unchanged since the Poincaré precedent, keeps near-term odds low despite the breakthrough's cultural weight in math circles. Upcoming catalysts include peer review outcomes and any formal preprints, though historical patterns suggest CMI declarations rarely accelerate beyond established protocols.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI.

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Volumen
$332,373
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2029
Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.Recent AI-driven claims have shifted trader focus on CMI's Millennium Prize timeline, with OpenAI's September 8 announcement of a Navier-Stokes singularity solution—produced via thousands of coordinated agents and Lean-verified—sparking immediate debate alongside concurrent human-AI work from Buckmaster and Alpöge. CMI's September 11 statement welcomed the developments but emphasized its deliberate process: qualified publication, a mandatory two-year scrutiny window for community acceptance, and formal board review before any prize declaration or official resolution. This high bar, unchanged since the Poincaré precedent, keeps near-term odds low despite the breakthrough's cultural weight in math circles. Upcoming catalysts include peer review outcomes and any formal preprints, though historical patterns suggest CMI declarations rarely accelerate beyond established protocols.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI.

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Volumen
$332,373
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2029
Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Wird OpenAI bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 eine weitere Lösung für den Millennium-Preis ankündigen?

Wird OpenAI bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 eine weitere Lösung für den Millennium-Preis ankündigen?

77%
Ja
icon for Wird Anthropic bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 eine Lösung für ein Millennium-Preisproblem ankündigen?

Wird Anthropic bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 eine Lösung für ein Millennium-Preisproblem ankündigen?

74%
Ja
icon for Wird die Hodge-Vermutung das nächste Millennium-Preis-Problem sein, das von KI gelöst wird?

Wird die Hodge-Vermutung das nächste Millennium-Preis-Problem sein, das von KI gelöst wird?

42%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird CMI ein Millennium-Preis-Problem bis zum ___ für gelöst erklären?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „31. Dezember 2028" mit 28%, gefolgt von „31. Dezember 2027" mit 16%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 28¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wird CMI ein Millennium-Preis-Problem bis zum ___ für gelöst erklären?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $332.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 24, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wird CMI ein Millennium-Preis-Problem bis zum ___ für gelöst erklären?" ist „31. Dezember 2028" mit 28%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „31. Dezember 2027" mit 16%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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