The overwhelming market consensus on "No" at 98% stems primarily from the razor-thin window remaining before 2027, with no confirmed developments aligning to longstanding messianic prophecies or apocalyptic cultural narratives. Traders factor in the absence of verifiable global signs, such as widespread supernatural events or transformative shifts matching biblical precedents, alongside the interpretive and subjective nature of religious fulfillment claims. Historical patterns of unmaterialized end-times predictions further reinforce this skin-in-the-game assessment. While an unforeseen worldwide crisis could theoretically trigger debate around resolution criteria, the market prices in the high barrier to any such outcome being universally accepted as the return within months.