Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 1. Juli?
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder weniger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$73,994 Vol.
$73,994 Vol.
18°C oder weniger
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder weniger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$73,994 Vol.
$73,994 Vol.
18°C oder weniger
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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