Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 13. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 13. Juli?
25°C 100.0%
24°C oder weniger <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$49,361 Vol.
$49,361 Vol.
13. Juli 2026
24°C oder weniger
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
25°C 100.0%
24°C oder weniger <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$49,361 Vol.
$49,361 Vol.
13. Juli 2026
24°C oder weniger
$16,578 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$9,532 Vol.
Ja
26°C
$5,113 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$4,316 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$6,413 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$3,114 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$2,152 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$609 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$566 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$765 Vol.
Nein
34°C oder höher
$203 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$49,361Enddatum
13. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$49,361Enddatum
13. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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