Traders see the tightest odds clustered around 88–93°F for Atlanta’s July 12 high because long-range models show modest uncertainty in peak heating. Atlanta’s mid-July climatology centers on 89°F under typical southerly flow and high humidity, but recent model runs differ on afternoon cloud cover and weak frontal moisture that could trim insolation by 1–3°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means currently favor upper 80s to low 90s at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, with the exact maximum hinging on the timing of any scattered convection and boundary-layer mixing. Historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns confirm that small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can easily move the daily high across the 88–93°F brackets that dominate market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Atlanta am 12. Juli?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$44,601 Vol.
$44,601 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F oder höher
Nein
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$44,601 Vol.
$44,601 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Traders see the tightest odds clustered around 88–93°F for Atlanta’s July 12 high because long-range models show modest uncertainty in peak heating. Atlanta’s mid-July climatology centers on 89°F under typical southerly flow and high humidity, but recent model runs differ on afternoon cloud cover and weak frontal moisture that could trim insolation by 1–3°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means currently favor upper 80s to low 90s at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, with the exact maximum hinging on the timing of any scattered convection and boundary-layer mixing. Historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns confirm that small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can easily move the daily high across the 88–93°F brackets that dominate market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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