National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 98°F for Atlanta on July 4 under sunny skies within a persistent heat dome, driving the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus and heat advisories through the holiday weekend reinforce upper-90s readings, though afternoon humidity, minor convective timing, or observational site specifics at official stations introduce narrow uncertainty that favors 94-97°F ranges over 98-99°F. Traders weigh climatological baselines—July averages around 90°F with records near 99°F—against stable short-term guidance showing minimal cooling trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Atlanta am 4. Juli?
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$91,531 Vol.
$91,531 Vol.
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$91,531 Vol.
$91,531 Vol.
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 98°F for Atlanta on July 4 under sunny skies within a persistent heat dome, driving the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus and heat advisories through the holiday weekend reinforce upper-90s readings, though afternoon humidity, minor convective timing, or observational site specifics at official stations introduce narrow uncertainty that favors 94-97°F ranges over 98-99°F. Traders weigh climatological baselines—July averages around 90°F with records near 99°F—against stable short-term guidance showing minimal cooling trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen