A cold front sweeping through Central Texas on Saturday, April 18, is the primary driver behind trader consensus pricing the highest temperature in Austin on April 19 at 72-75°F, with National Weather Service guidance forecasting weekend highs in the 60s to low 70s under mostly cloudy skies and scattered shower chances. This setup introduces cooler mid-level air masses, reducing surface insolation and limiting diurnal heating compared to mid-April climatological normals near 80°F. Differentiating the closely matched 72-73°F (27.5%) and 74-75°F (26.5%) outcomes are uncertainties in post-frontal cloud clearance and precipitation timing—persistent overcast favors the lower bin, while partial afternoon breaks could push toward 75°F—as shown in GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 3-5°F. New hourly forecasts and model updates expected Saturday will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Austin on April 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 19?
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 26%
70-71°F 16%
76-77°F 14%
69°F or below
9%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 26%
70-71°F 16%
76-77°F 14%
69°F or below
9%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front sweeping through Central Texas on Saturday, April 18, is the primary driver behind trader consensus pricing the highest temperature in Austin on April 19 at 72-75°F, with National Weather Service guidance forecasting weekend highs in the 60s to low 70s under mostly cloudy skies and scattered shower chances. This setup introduces cooler mid-level air masses, reducing surface insolation and limiting diurnal heating compared to mid-April climatological normals near 80°F. Differentiating the closely matched 72-73°F (27.5%) and 74-75°F (26.5%) outcomes are uncertainties in post-frontal cloud clearance and precipitation timing—persistent overcast favors the lower bin, while partial afternoon breaks could push toward 75°F—as shown in GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 3-5°F. New hourly forecasts and model updates expected Saturday will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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