Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Beijing on May 10?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 10?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$161,372 Vol.
$161,372 Vol.
10. Mai 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$161,372 Vol.
$161,372 Vol.
10. Mai 2026
29°C or below
$23,839 Vol.
No
30°C
$20,377 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,144 Vol.
No
32°C
$36,879 Vol.
No
33°C
$18,983 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$18,278 Vol.
No
35°C
$10,611 Vol.
No
36°C
$10,450 Vol.
No
37°C
$6,365 Vol.
No
38°C
$4,515 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,930 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volumen
$161,372Enddatum
10. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$161,372Enddatum
10. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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