The recorded high temperature of 33°C at Beijing Capital International Airport station on May 31 has driven the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. Official meteorological observations from this primary resolution source confirm the daily maximum under standard surface measurement protocols, consistent with late-spring climatology where Beijing averages near 27°C but regularly sees peaks several degrees higher amid variable synoptic patterns. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving negligible room for higher thresholds. Only an official data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the result, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Beijing on May 31?
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$97,492 Vol.
$97,492 Vol.
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$97,492 Vol.
$97,492 Vol.
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: May 29, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The recorded high temperature of 33°C at Beijing Capital International Airport station on May 31 has driven the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. Official meteorological observations from this primary resolution source confirm the daily maximum under standard surface measurement protocols, consistent with late-spring climatology where Beijing averages near 27°C but regularly sees peaks several degrees higher amid variable synoptic patterns. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving negligible room for higher thresholds. Only an official data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the result, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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