Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air over Beijing on September 11, supporting daytime heating to a high near 29–31°C following earlier cold-air advection that lowered temperatures mid-week. Historical September averages hover around 27°C, but current high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover favor values at the upper end of the recent range. This setup underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 31°C, with secondary support for 32°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Official observations from Beijing stations will resolve the market, and any last-minute model shifts in the next 24 hours could adjust the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 11. September?
31°C 54%
32°C 27%
30°C 12%
33°C 6%
$11,906 Vol.
$11,906 Vol.
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
54%
32°C
27%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 54%
32°C 27%
30°C 12%
33°C 6%
$11,906 Vol.
$11,906 Vol.
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
54%
32°C
27%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air over Beijing on September 11, supporting daytime heating to a high near 29–31°C following earlier cold-air advection that lowered temperatures mid-week. Historical September averages hover around 27°C, but current high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover favor values at the upper end of the recent range. This setup underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 31°C, with secondary support for 32°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Official observations from Beijing stations will resolve the market, and any last-minute model shifts in the next 24 hours could adjust the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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