Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature of 25–26°C in Beijing on September 9, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. A cold front and associated rainfall on September 7–8 have lowered temperatures below seasonal norms, with September 8 highs near 21–22°C, while clearing skies and light northerly winds on the 9th support modest recovery without significant warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with historical September 9 averages near 27.6°C but tempered by the recent cool air mass. Upcoming model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global centers will refine any late adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 9. September?
26°C 51%
25°C 27%
27°C 12%
24°C 5%
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
51%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 27%
27°C 12%
24°C 5%
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
51%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature of 25–26°C in Beijing on September 9, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. A cold front and associated rainfall on September 7–8 have lowered temperatures below seasonal norms, with September 8 highs near 21–22°C, while clearing skies and light northerly winds on the 9th support modest recovery without significant warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with historical September 9 averages near 27.6°C but tempered by the recent cool air mass. Upcoming model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global centers will refine any late adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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