Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 16, with 24°C and 25°C or higher nearly tied at around 34% implied probabilities each, driven by the latest regional guidance from sources like Meteored aggregating SMN data projecting a daytime high near 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, light rain (80% chance, 3 mm accumulation), and moderate southeast winds at 14 km/h capping solar heating. Ensemble model spreads show some ECMWF and GFS runs edging toward 25°C if clouds thin midday, while others hold at 23-24°C due to persistent overcast from recent frontal passage; this mirrors April climatology (historical highs averaging 21-22°C) but follows variable early-month warmth up to 31°C. Watch SMN hourly updates and Ezeiza airport observations for resolution clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?
25°C or higher 32%
24°C 32%
23°C 19%
22°C 9%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
19%
24°C
38%
25°C or higher
32%
25°C or higher 32%
24°C 32%
23°C 19%
22°C 9%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
19%
24°C
38%
25°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 16, with 24°C and 25°C or higher nearly tied at around 34% implied probabilities each, driven by the latest regional guidance from sources like Meteored aggregating SMN data projecting a daytime high near 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, light rain (80% chance, 3 mm accumulation), and moderate southeast winds at 14 km/h capping solar heating. Ensemble model spreads show some ECMWF and GFS runs edging toward 25°C if clouds thin midday, while others hold at 23-24°C due to persistent overcast from recent frontal passage; this mirrors April climatology (historical highs averaging 21-22°C) but follows variable early-month warmth up to 31°C. Watch SMN hourly updates and Ezeiza airport observations for resolution clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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