Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range weather models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, with the 26°C outcome leading at 35.5% implied probability amid a tight cluster around 25–28°C outcomes. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts indicate highs near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with April climatology averaging 22°C highs but elevated by +1°C monthly anomaly so far. Differentiating factors include potential northerly winds enhancing warm air advection versus increased cloud cover or southerly shifts capping peaks at 22–24°C; global models like ECMWF and GFS show spread of 20–27°C. New SMN updates and model runs expected within 24–48 hours could sharpen resolution criteria based on Aeroparque observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
24°C 24%
23°C 14%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
14%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
7%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
24°C 24%
23°C 14%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
14%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range weather models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, with the 26°C outcome leading at 35.5% implied probability amid a tight cluster around 25–28°C outcomes. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts indicate highs near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with April climatology averaging 22°C highs but elevated by +1°C monthly anomaly so far. Differentiating factors include potential northerly winds enhancing warm air advection versus increased cloud cover or southerly shifts capping peaks at 22–24°C; global models like ECMWF and GFS show spread of 20–27°C. New SMN updates and model runs expected within 24–48 hours could sharpen resolution criteria based on Aeroparque observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen