Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 16. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 16. Juli?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$59,974 Vol.
$59,974 Vol.
16. Juli 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$59,974 Vol.
$59,974 Vol.
16. Juli 2026
16°C or below
$220 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,741 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,842 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,168 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,876 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,125 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,408 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,367 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,336 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$7,123 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$3,768 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$59,974Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$59,974Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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