Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 16, indicating partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and cool to warm conditions over Cape Town, yielding market-implied odds tightly clustered around 20-23°C. This positioning stems from ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS showing a 1-2°C spread, driven by uncertainties in cloud cover extent, shower timing, and sea breeze intensification, which moderates peak afternoon heating typical for mid-autumn. Yr.no guidance leans toward a 22°C maximum under clearer skies, aligning with climatological averages of ~22°C, while greater cloudiness could cap it at 20-21°C. SAWS hourly updates and official station observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
22°C 29%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
23°C 27%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
29%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 29%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
23°C 27%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
29%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 16, indicating partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and cool to warm conditions over Cape Town, yielding market-implied odds tightly clustered around 20-23°C. This positioning stems from ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS showing a 1-2°C spread, driven by uncertainties in cloud cover extent, shower timing, and sea breeze intensification, which moderates peak afternoon heating typical for mid-autumn. Yr.no guidance leans toward a 22°C maximum under clearer skies, aligning with climatological averages of ~22°C, while greater cloudiness could cap it at 20-21°C. SAWS hourly updates and official station observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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