Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Cape Town on July 1, aligning with the market's leading 38% implied probability for that exact outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region's Mediterranean climate features cool, moist conditions driven by prevailing westerly winds and Atlantic cold fronts, with recent late-June systems reinforcing below-average temperatures. Climatological baselines place July highs around 15–17°C, and short-range guidance shows limited warming potential before the date, keeping 16°C and 17°C as secondary contenders while suppressing odds for extremes above 19°C. Updated model runs in the coming days will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 1. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 1. Juli?
15°C 100.0%
10°C oder weniger <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$58,577 Vol.
$58,577 Vol.
1. Juli 2026
10°C oder weniger
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Ja
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C oder höher
Nein
15°C 100.0%
10°C oder weniger <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$58,577 Vol.
$58,577 Vol.
1. Juli 2026
10°C oder weniger
$3,797 Vol.
Nein
11°C
$2,799 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$4,340 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$11,408 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$4,510 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$13,063 Vol.
Ja
16°C
$8,945 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$4,183 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$2,201 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$1,050 Vol.
Nein
20°C oder höher
$2,280 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Cape Town on July 1, aligning with the market's leading 38% implied probability for that exact outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region's Mediterranean climate features cool, moist conditions driven by prevailing westerly winds and Atlantic cold fronts, with recent late-June systems reinforcing below-average temperatures. Climatological baselines place July highs around 15–17°C, and short-range guidance shows limited warming potential before the date, keeping 16°C and 17°C as secondary contenders while suppressing odds for extremes above 19°C. Updated model runs in the coming days will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$58,577Enddatum
1. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Cape Town on July 1, aligning with the market's leading 38% implied probability for that exact outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region's Mediterranean climate features cool, moist conditions driven by prevailing westerly winds and Atlantic cold fronts, with recent late-June systems reinforcing below-average temperatures. Climatological baselines place July highs around 15–17°C, and short-range guidance shows limited warming potential before the date, keeping 16°C and 17°C as secondary contenders while suppressing odds for extremes above 19°C. Updated model runs in the coming days will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$58,577Enddatum
1. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Cape Town on July 1, aligning with the market's leading 38% implied probability for that exact outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region's Mediterranean climate features cool, moist conditions driven by prevailing westerly winds and Atlantic cold fronts, with recent late-June systems reinforcing below-average temperatures. Climatological baselines place July highs around 15–17°C, and short-range guidance shows limited warming potential before the date, keeping 16°C and 17°C as secondary contenders while suppressing odds for extremes above 19°C. Updated model runs in the coming days will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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