Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies indicate a typical mid-winter pattern over Cape Town, with partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating moderated by the cold Benguela Current. This setup supports a maximum temperature most likely between 16–18 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover and onshore flow strength, which can suppress or allow modest warming; historical July averages near 17 °C provide climatological context, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating keeps extremes improbable. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 18. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 18. Juli?
16°C 100.0%
12°C oder weniger <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$44,684 Vol.
$44,684 Vol.
18. Juli 2026
12°C oder weniger
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Ja
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C oder höher
Nein
16°C 100.0%
12°C oder weniger <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$44,684 Vol.
$44,684 Vol.
18. Juli 2026
12°C oder weniger
$239 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$847 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$3,933 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$4,328 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$5,334 Vol.
Ja
17°C
$3,475 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$2,668 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$6,318 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$11,372 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$3,965 Vol.
Nein
22°C oder höher
$2,207 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies indicate a typical mid-winter pattern over Cape Town, with partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating moderated by the cold Benguela Current. This setup supports a maximum temperature most likely between 16–18 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover and onshore flow strength, which can suppress or allow modest warming; historical July averages near 17 °C provide climatological context, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating keeps extremes improbable. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$44,684Enddatum
18. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies indicate a typical mid-winter pattern over Cape Town, with partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating moderated by the cold Benguela Current. This setup supports a maximum temperature most likely between 16–18 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover and onshore flow strength, which can suppress or allow modest warming; historical July averages near 17 °C provide climatological context, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating keeps extremes improbable. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$44,684Enddatum
18. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies indicate a typical mid-winter pattern over Cape Town, with partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating moderated by the cold Benguela Current. This setup supports a maximum temperature most likely between 16–18 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover and onshore flow strength, which can suppress or allow modest warming; historical July averages near 17 °C provide climatological context, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating keeps extremes improbable. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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